Where does Cuba stand on Anticipation?
This page reads one capability from the published data and is recomputed with every release. It separates what Cuba does, which makes the score, from what the country has, which sits beside the score, and places the country among the 10 countries at the nearest income. The text describes the data and recommends no policy.
The World Bank publishes no GDP per capita for Cuba, so the page forms no peer set and draws no comparison.
What does the score rest on?
No score in this release. Observed indicators: 1, under the minimum the model needs to form a mean.
The Anticipation score is the equal-weight mean of the positions of one indicators on a 0 to 100 scale that every country sets together. Confidence measures the evidence behind the score and sits beside it as a second number.
The Anticipation score tracks GDP per capita at r = 0.86 across 123 countries.
Observed indicators
- Position on the scale4.2Peer medianno value0 peers with a value
Scientific articles
1,217 articles per million people
World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), 2023
- Position on the scaleno valuePeer medianno value0 peers with a value
Statistical performance
no value
No comparable source yet, so lowering confidence: government foresight capacity and long-horizon research commitments.
What Cuba has to work with
Beside each condition, two r values read every country at once, one against income and one against the capability score. Where the r with income is much higher than the r with the score, having the condition goes with being rich more than with the capability measured.
Conditions, not scored
What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.
R&D expenditureWorld Bank (GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS), 2024
0.44 % of GDP, rank 60 of 118. Gross domestic expenditure on research and development as a share of GDP.
A condition, not scored: money committed to research is what a country spends, and spending it does not show the country reads the future well (D122).
- r with income: 0.62 (116 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.73 (117 countries)
Researchers in R&DWorld Bank (SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6), 2024
2,171 per million people, rank 39 of 114. Full-time-equivalent researchers per million people.
A condition, not scored: a standing stock of people who could investigate is what a country has, not a record of what they found (D122). Correlates with income but survives size normalization.
- r with income: 0.74 (112 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.87 (113 countries)
Secure internet serversWorld Bank (IT.NET.SECR.P6), 2024
193 per million people, rank 88 of 125. Servers using encryption in internet transactions, per million people.
A condition, not scored: a diffusion stock of digital adoption that money buys, not an act of anticipation (D122). Spans four orders of magnitude, so its rank is read on the published value and its correlations on the logged one.
- r with income: 0.91 (123 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.89 (124 countries)
Where does Cuba sit among its peers?
The World Bank publishes no GDP per capita for Cuba, so the page forms no peer set and draws no comparison.
What this reading does not show
- A national score is a coarse proxy. A capability forms in firms, cities, networks and groups below the level of the country, and a national average only describes the conditions they work in.
- Peers share income and nothing else. Size, production structure, region and political regime are outside the rule, and a set of 10 countries can change with any revision to GDP.
- An r reads the whole set at once and says nothing about one country alone. A correlation does not show a cause either.
- And the ones every score in the benchmark carries: artefact A8, artefact A10.