52 countries, nine capabilities
What is a country capable of doing?
Nine capabilities, scored from public data. Pick one and every country lands on the same scale, each carrying its own confidence.
One capability at a time
Switch capability and watch the countries move. A country that sits high on one of these can sit at the floor of the next, which is why there is no overall ranking here.
How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?
- Sweden: 83.5
- Finland: 82.0
- Switzerland: 81.1
- Israel: 80.6
- South Korea: 80.6
- Singapore: 78.1
- Netherlands: 72.3
- Germany: 71.2
- United States: 70.2
- Ireland: 67.1
- Australia: 66.8
- Canada: 66.3
- United Kingdom: 65.3
- Japan: 64.7
- Estonia: 63.9
- France: 61.3
- Spain: 58.0
- Poland: 55.7
- Turkey: 44.0
- United Arab Emirates: 42.4
- Malaysia: 41.6
- Chile: 39.3
- Brazil: 37.3
- Thailand: 37.1
- South Africa: 35.5
- China: 35.1
- Uruguay: 34.5
- Argentina: 34.4
- Peru: 33.6
- Costa Rica: 33.4
- Indonesia: 30.6
- Mexico: 30.5
- Colombia: 28.8
- Vietnam: 27.4
- Panama: 27.2
- Ecuador: 27.1
- India: 26.7
- Dominican Republic: 24.7
- Kenya: 24.2
- Philippines: 24.1
- Paraguay: 23.2
- Rwanda: 21.4
- Guatemala: 20.3
- El Salvador: 19.7
- Bolivia: 19.6
- Nigeria: 17.5
- Cuba: 16.4
- Honduras: 16.4
- Ethiopia: 12.1
- Nicaragua: 11.7
- Venezuela: 8.6
- Haiti: 0.0
Reacts to change
Change is met once it has already arrived.
Sees change early
Signals are read while there is still time to act.
- Solid ring: usable or good evidence
- Broken ring: thin evidence, opening further as confidence falls
- The shaded band is the middle half of the field and the line inside it is the median.
Open the anticipation page for the indicators behind these scores.
0 to 100 is a position inside the frame every country builds together. Zero is the weakest on a dimension and 100 is the strongest. A score of 10 puts a country near the floor of that frame. It does not mean 10 percent of a capability.
The nine capabilities
Each one asks a question the others do not, and each has its own indicators, country comparison and known gaps.
Anticipation
How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?
Agency
How able are individuals and organizations to turn an intention into action?
Coordination
How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?
Trust
How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?
Learning
How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?
Experimentation
How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?
Adaptability
How effectively can the system respond when circumstances change?
Building
How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?
Shared Purpose
To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?
Where to go next
The benchmark is built to be argued with, so every number links back to the data and the reasoning behind it.
All 52 countries reads each one as a nine-dimension shape. The capabilities directory carries the full score table. The method page explains the scoring, the glossary defines the terms, and the limits page records where the current data is wrong about the world.
The code and data are open. Open the repository on GitHub.