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Challenge the benchmark

Choose a score and give the benchmark a specific reason to reconsider it.

When you submit, the form attaches the current score and confidence for the country and capability you chose.

Submissions are public and start as awaiting review. A maintainer can add a response and signature after review.

Romania

Strongest usable evidence: Adaptability, at 75.9. Raise Building first, at 26.6. Trust needs more evidence: confidence is 0.29.

Raise, lowest first

Raise, lowest first
DimensionConfidenceScore
Building0.5726.6
Learning0.5435.4

Measure before managing

Measure before managing
DimensionConfidenceScore
Trust0.2981.6
Shared Purpose0.3063.9
Experimentation0.3318.1
Agency0.4162.1
Coordination0.4182.6

These lists are the country's capability agenda, computed from the scores. Read the full agenda. It names comparable evidence from other countries and the 18 gaps in the registry.

Why this country is included: Added in the 9.0.0 completion, which takes every country of a million people or more that is measurable in all nine capabilities.

Download this country as CSV

255075100
Anticipation58.0Confidence0.46usableHow capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?
Romania

Read Romania beside up to three other countries, down to the indicator behind every row.

  • Usable or good evidence
  • Thin evidence, hollow point. The dashes open further as confidence falls.
  • The point still sits at the score, because confidence never moves it.
  • Click any axis to see every country on that dimension.

A score from 0 to 100 is a position inside the frame that all the benchmark countries set: zero is the weakest on a dimension and 100 is the strongest. A score of 10 puts a country near the floor of that frame and does not mean 10 percent of a capability.

Romania dimension summary
Coordination

Coordination

How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.413 of 50.86no trendno datano estimate
Trust

Trust

How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.293 of 70.83no trend52.0-29.6
Adaptability

Adaptability

How effectively can the system respond when circumstances change?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.624 of 61.00no trendno datano estimate
Shared Purpose

Shared Purpose

To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.302 of 60.96+5.2(2)42.0-21.9
Agency

Agency

How able are individuals and organizations to turn an intention into action?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.413 of 50.72no trendno datano estimate
Anticipation

Anticipation

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.462 of 40.96no trend46.0-12.0
Learning

Learning

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.543 of 40.78no trendno datano estimate
Building

Building

How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.574 of 60.90-5.7(3)no datano estimate
Experimentation

Experimentation

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.334 of 90.81-3.4(3)no datano estimate

How to read this page

Each dimension has a score from 0 to 100. It shows where this country sits among all 125 countries in the comparison frame, not a percentage. Confidence sits beside the score. A dashed radar edge and hollow point mean the evidence is thin. The records below show each indicator, its raw value, year and source.

A panel estimate, when present, is a separate judgment about what the indicators miss. It does not change the score or confidence. The panel's provenance is shown beside the estimate.

  • direct capability measuredirect capability measure Measures the thing itself.
  • capability inputcapability input Measures something that supports the capability.
  • downstream outcomedownstream outcome Measures a result that usually follows from the capability.
  • perception proxyperception proxy Records what people or experts say, not what they did.

Confidence

  • very thin0.00 to 0.25

    The score rests on one or two indicators. Do not quote it on its own.

  • thin0.25 to 0.45

    A minority of indicators, or evidence old enough to have moved. Read with care.

  • usable0.45 to 0.65

    Enough evidence to compare countries, with known holes.

  • good0.65 and above

    Most indicators observed, recent, from official or intergovernmental sources.

A row marked no dataset exists is a gap: the benchmark wants data that nobody publishes. A retired row has a source this project chose not to use. Both reduce confidence. The glossary defines each term, and the limits page lists where these numbers are known to be wrong about the world.

Anticipation

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Scientific articles

Scientific and technical journal articles published, per million people.

Measured in articles per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
10712.88articles per million people
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Scientific articles

Scientific and technical journal articles published, per million people.

Measured in articles per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Statistical performance

World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators overall score for the national statistical system.

Measured in index 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
91.045index 0-100
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Statistical performance

World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators overall score for the national statistical system.

Measured in index 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL)
History

Government foresight capacity

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No comparable international dataset. OECD and UN work is descriptive, not scored. Envisioning would have to build this.

Long-horizon research commitments

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of new grants
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked for the share of R&D spending classed as basic research, which is the make-up of a spending stock, the construct D142 retired business R&D share for. OECD MSTI publishes that share for its members only, and UNESCO UIS no longer serves R&D by type of research (construct audit, 2026-10-02). The behaviour behind it is a funder committing to a horizon: a grant awarded for five years or more is a decision to wait for a result. Untried: no memo has triaged a grant register. National funders publish award lists one by one with their own durations, and commercial grant aggregators fail the inspectability rule. Wireable on a grant-level register with award and end dates, on one definition of a competitive public grant, for half the frame or more.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • R&D expenditureWorld Bank (GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS), 2023

    0.52 % of GDP, rank 58 of 118. Gross domestic expenditure on research and development as a share of GDP.

    A condition, not scored: money committed to research is what a country spends, and spending it does not show the country reads the future well (D122).

  • Researchers in R&DWorld Bank (SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6), 2023

    1,082 per million people, rank 51 of 114. Full-time-equivalent researchers per million people.

    A condition, not scored: a standing stock of people who could investigate is what a country has, not a record of what they found (D122). Correlates with income but survives size normalization.

  • Secure internet serversWorld Bank (IT.NET.SECR.P6), 2024

    27,230 per million people, rank 32 of 125. Servers using encryption in internet transactions, per million people.

    A condition, not scored: a diffusion stock of digital adoption that money buys, not an act of anticipation (D122). Spans four orders of magnitude, so its rank is read on the published value and its correlations on the logged one.

Panel estimate, round 2, how this layer works

  • 46.0 institutionalist@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.50

    I move down two points on panelist C's point: the seismic retrofit programme for Bucharest's highest-risk buildings has stalled for decades against a known hazard, which is a direct failure of institutional preparation. Strong statistics through Eurostat alignment do not offset government churn and a fiscal slide to the largest EU deficit.

  • 46.0 bottom_up@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.45

    C's point on the weak seismic retrofit record and A's on the fiscal slide to the EU's largest deficit both show foresight not becoming preparation, so I come down two points while staying above C, since excellent statistics are a real base.

  • 46.0 wealth_sceptic@claude-sonnet-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    A top-ranked statistical system is real capability, but much of it is Eurostat alignment, and planning is driven by EU cycles with chronic under-absorption, a record deficit and weak retrofit programmes. Two panelists at 48 persuade me to move up two points, though not to the indicator level.

Agency

How able are individuals and organizations to turn an intention into action?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

New business density

New limited liability companies registered per 1,000 working-age people.

Measured in per 1,000 aged 15-64; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
7.474per 1,000 aged 15-64
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

New business density

New limited liability companies registered per 1,000 working-age people.

Measured in per 1,000 aged 15-64; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to start a business

Calendar days to complete company registration procedures.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
20days
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to start a business

Calendar days to complete company registration procedures.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Procedures to start a business

Number of separate official procedures to register a company.

Measured in count; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
6count
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Procedures to start a business

Number of separate official procedures to register a company.

Measured in count; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO)
History

Adults doing digital tasks

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
ITU / UNESCO UIS (SDG 4.4.1, ICT skills by type)
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked whether adults can perform standard digital tasks, which reads a skill level, the kind of stock D122 moved out of the scores with internet users. It now counts the act: a person who did the task. It is not the internet users condition beside it, which counts access. Candidate: ITU ICT skills by type (SDG 4.4.1) through the UNESCO UIS API, probed 2026-10-02. Sent a message with an attached file reaches 33 of the 53 countries then in the frame, 25 at 2018 or later, with no United States, India or China and most of Africa and Central America missing; two other task items reach 31 and 16. The items are self-reported and the task list has changed between rounds. Wireable on one task observed for half the frame or more at 2018 or later.

Perceived control over life

perception proxymissing
Raw value
no datamean 1-10
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A173)
History
no data

Note: A perception: the publisher-weighted mean, on a 1 to 10 scale, of how much freedom of choice and control respondents feel they have over the way their life turns out, from the official Joint EVS/WVS 2017-2022 results table, release 5.0.0. It observes the felt capacity to act, not action. The table prints the mean to one decimal and no top-box share, so the row stores the mean and ties are common. Fieldwork years differ by up to six years: the 37 countries emitted were surveyed between 2017 (eight, the US among them) and 2023 (India), and every value is stamped with the release year 2022. Response style on 10-point scales differs across cultures, and a closed autocracy can read high: Vietnam and Nicaragua sit near the top of the frame. Countries with separate EVS and WVS samples (Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands) are held, as for interpersonal trust. See D127 and A15.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Individuals using the internetWorld Bank (IT.NET.USER.ZS), 2024

    91.3 % of population, rank 33 of 125. Share of the population that used the internet in the last three months.

    A condition, not scored: access to the basic tool of modern agency is what people have to act with, not a record of them acting (D122). Saturates near 95%, which compresses the top of the range.

  • Financial account ownershipWorld Bank (FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS), 2024

    71.3 % aged 15+, rank 70 of 122. Adults with an account at a bank or mobile money provider.

    A condition, not scored: holding an account is the precondition for almost any economic action, not the action (D122). Global Findex, published every three years.

  • Credit to the private sectorWorld Bank (FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS), 2025

    22.1 % of GDP, rank 98 of 124. Domestic credit provided to the private sector by financial corporations.

    A condition, not scored: financial depth is a stock of money available to actors, not what they do with it (D122). High values can also signal a credit bubble, so more is not always better.

Coordination

How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

Government effectiveness

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_GE.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. The WGI aggregate the opinions of experts and firms, and in this set the four WGI series correlate with each other between 0.93 and 0.98 while correlating with log GDP per capita at 0.91. That is one perception of national wealth counted in three dimensions. Cross-agency delivery records are the replacement and they are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

Regulatory quality

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_RQ.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. Same measurement as government effectiveness, filed under a different name, correlating with it above 0.93. See D23 and A4.

Logistics performance

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataindex 1-5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. The LPI is a survey of international freight forwarders, so it records how a country looks to global logistics firms. A small country with a small port scores low whatever its state can organise, which is artefact A9. Container throughput and border time are observable and stay. See D23.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Border compliance time to export

Hours to complete customs and border compliance for a standard export shipment.

Measured in hours; lower is better. Source: World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.375hours
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Border compliance time to export

Hours to complete customs and border compliance for a standard export shipment.

Measured in hours; lower is better. Source: World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Budget execution fidelity

Distance between primary government expenditure and the original approved budget.

Measured in percentage points from approved budget; lower is better. Source: World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
107.66percentage points from approved budget
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Budget execution fidelity

Distance between primary government expenditure and the original approved budget.

Measured in percentage points from approved budget; lower is better. Source: World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS)
History

University-industry collaboration

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Innovation Index
History
no data

Note: GII carries it, but the underlying item is a WEF executive opinion survey whose microdata is not inspectable. Excluded on principle 4.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civil society strength

Autonomy, density and participatory reach of civil society organisations.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2x_cspart), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.656index 0-1
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civil society strength

Autonomy, density and participatory reach of civil society organisations.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2x_cspart), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
V-Dem (v2x_cspart)
History
one year

Public-private collaboration

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No comparable dataset. PPP investment databases measure infrastructure finance, not collaboration capacity.

Behavioral check, not scored

Each number below is published beside the score and stays out of it. It is not in the frame, the average, the indicator count or the confidence.

  • Customs clearance time for exportsWorld Bank (IC.CUS.DURS.EX), 2023

    1.723 days, lower is better. Average number of days to clear direct exports through customs, as reported by manufacturing firms that export directly, in the World Bank Enterprise Surveys.

    Days a manufacturer that exports directly says its goods took to clear customs, from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys. It is the time the border took on firms' own shipments, current where the Doing Business border time this capability scores is frozen at 2019. It is not scored for two reasons. The number of firms behind each country's figure is published only in the survey microdata, and on a proxy from the published tables 37 of the 53 countries in the frame when it was checked clear 30 exporting firms; Mexico, the Philippines, Israel and nine others may not. And the question changed: surveys fielded from 2024 also ask how long release took across all border agencies, and drop an answer where customs alone took longer, so a country surveyed on both sides of the change can move severalfold with nothing at its border changing. India reads 17.3 days in 2022 and 2.5 in 2025, on more than 9,000 firms each time. No country in the frame has two surveys on the new questionnaire yet. Income is not why it is left out: it barely tracks log GDP per capita.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Romanialinked to University-industry collaborationstarted 2014still operating

    Proiect de transfer la operatorul economic (PTE) research-to-firm transfer grants

    Romania's research funding agency UEFISCDI accepted 35 firm-led projects with research organisation partners for funding in the 2024 PTE (transfer to the economic operator) competition, plus one more on a second list, after 47 in the 2021 competition.

    35 projects, pte 2024 projects on the list accepted for funding, PTE 2024 competition. 47 projects, pte 2021 projects on the list accepted for funding, PTE 2021 competition. Unitatea Executiva pentru Finantarea Invatamantului Superior, a Cercetarii, Dezvoltarii si Inovarii (UEFISCDI), Lista proiectelor PTE 2024 acceptate la finantare (PNCDI IV, Programul Parteneriate pentru Inovare), retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: The national research funding agency runs a periodic competition in which a company leads a project to take a research organisation's result to market, with the state grant paying both sides under state aid rules.

    Limits: The count is ours: the four-page PDF numbers its rows 1 to 35 and is a list of projects accepted for funding, not contracts signed or completed; a separate 'Lista nr. 2' adds one more project (PN-IV-P7-7.1-PTE-2024-0336), and a reserve list exists, so the contracted number may differ. The 2021 figure is the row count of a different file on the same agency site (resource-862977, 'Lista proiectelor PTE 2021 acceptate la finantare'), not at the cited URL. Each project is coordinated by a company with one or more universities or national R&D institutes as partners, and the maximum grant was about 1.5 million lei, so this is a few dozen projects a competition in a country of 19 million. PTE competitions are not annual (2019, 2021, 2024, and a 2026 call that closed on 16 September 2026 with 378 proposals submitted and none funded yet), so the gaps between rounds are part of the record. The started year is approximate: PTE ran under PNCDI III from about 2014 to 2016, which is not stated in the cited file. The figures say nothing about technology actually transferred or sold.

  • Romanialinked to Public-private collaborationstarted 2009operating below its peak

    Prima Casa / Noua Casa state-guaranteed mortgages through banks, and their wind-down

    Romania's Prima Casa programme, renamed Noua Casa in 2020, had the National Credit Guarantee Fund for SMEs (FNGCIMM) issue 334,048 state guarantees and guarantee promises worth RON 31.68 billion on mortgages made by participating banks between 2009 and December 2024, but only 811 guarantees in 2024, and the ratio of guaranteed lending to banks' unguaranteed housing loans fell from about 70 percent in 2017 to about 10 percent in 2023.

    10 % (circa), ratio of prima casa / noua casa guaranteed lending to banks' unguaranteed housing loans to individuals, 2023. 70 % (approx.), same ratio in 2017, the first year of the 2017-2021 strategy and the earliest year the source gives, 2017. Ministry of Finance of Romania, Nota de fundamentare for the draft Government Decision on the Noua Casa guarantee ceiling for 2025, 4 March 2025, retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: The finance ministry, through a state guarantee fund acting as its agent, guaranteed half or more of each first-home mortgage that participating banks underwrote, set a lower interest cap and annual guarantee ceilings, and then cut the ceilings year by year so private lending took over.

    Limits: The live file at mfinante.gov.ro did not answer a script on the day of retrieval, so the record cites the Internet Archive copy; the figures are on pages 1 and 2 of a nine-page PDF, prepared with FNGCIMM, which runs the programme, so the ministry is grading its own scheme. The decline was largely chosen: the note says the 2017-2021 medium-term strategy set falling guarantee ceilings to decelerate state intervention and that its objectives were met, while private mortgage lending without a state guarantee grew, so the erosion is a planned withdrawal as much as a loss of capacity. The 70 and 10 percent are approximate ('aprox.', 'circa') and describe a ratio of guaranteed to unguaranteed lending as the note words it, which is not the same as a market share. 2017 is the first year of the strategy, not a demonstrated peak: the note gives no earlier year, and the programme's share was probably at least as high in its first years after 2009. 811 guarantees in 2024 is a calendar-year count against a cumulative total, and the note does not give the annual peak; the 1,449 guarantees the Ministry of Finance paid out to banks since launch show the state carried real credit risk. Whether the programme raised home ownership or mainly house prices is not shown.

Trust

How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

Rule of law

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_RL.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite correlating with control of corruption above 0.95 and with log GDP per capita at 0.83. Court throughput and case clearance rates are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

Control of corruption

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_CC.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite. It measures reputation for corruption, which is not the same thing as corruption, and it tracks income closely. Prosecution and audit records are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to enforce a contract

Calendar days from filing a commercial claim to payment.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
512days
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to enforce a contract

Calendar days from filing a commercial claim to payment.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Bribery incidence

Firms asked for at least one bribe payment across six public transactions covering utilities, permits, licences and taxes.

Measured in % of firms; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
2.662% of firms
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Bribery incidence

Firms asked for at least one bribe payment across six public transactions covering utilities, permits, licences and taxes.

Measured in % of firms; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Government compliance with the courts

How often the government complies with important decisions of the ordinary and specialised courts that it disagrees with.

Measured in scale 0-4 (never to always); higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
2.774scale 0-4 (never to always)
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Government compliance with the courts

How often the government complies with important decisions of the ordinary and specialised courts that it disagrees with.

Measured in scale 0-4 (never to always); higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp)
History
one year

Intentional homicide rate

downstream outcomeretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataper 100,000 people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (VC.IHR.PSRC.P5)
History
no data

Note: Added 2026-08-26 by D23 as the observable replacement for two retired WGI perception composites, and retired 2026-08-27 by D44 when the diagnostic built in D42 measured what it was doing. It raised this dimension's correlation with log GDP per capita by 0.288, from 0.096 to 0.385, the largest single wealth contribution anywhere in the model. It was added to fix wealth contamination and it was the wealth contamination. The dataset is sound and the objection is to what it measures here: homicide is driven heavily by organised crime, a society can be physically safe while trusting very little, and across this country set the variation it carries is mostly income. Behavioural trust measures remain a gap.

Generalised interpersonal trust

perception proxymissing
Raw value
no data% agreeing
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A165)
History
no data

Note: Share answering that most people can be trusted in the official Joint EVS/WVS 2017-2022 results table, release 5.0.0. The adapter uses the publisher-weighted country results, emits only countries with one survey row, and holds countries with separate EVS and WVS samples until the respondent-level weights can be pooled reproducibly. See D57 and D64.

Trust in public institutions

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% expressing confidence
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD Trust Survey / WVS
History
no data

Note: The OECD survey covers members only. Mixing it with WVS items for India and South Africa would break comparability. The Joint EVS/WVS confidence battery (E069) reaches 37 countries from one release, and confidence in the courts (E069_17) is published beside Trust as a check under this id rather than scored: every item of the battery tested (courts, civil service, police, parliament and government) reads higher in the closed and electoral autocracies of the frame than in its democracies, which is deference as much as confidence (A13). The gap stays open for a measure that does not reward a court that cannot rule against the state. See D132.

Cooperation beyond the in-group

perception proxymissing
Raw value
no data% expressing trust
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (G007_34_B)
History
no data

Note: The distinction that makes this dimension worth measuring: whether trust reaches a person with no tie to the respondent. Generalised trust asks about "most people", which a respondent can fill with their own circle; this item names the stranger. China is the clearest case, high on most people and low on a person met for the first time. The value is the publisher-weighted share answering trust completely plus the share answering trust somewhat, the one sum of two printed columns the adapter stores, exact to about 0.1, over all respondents including don't know and no answer. EVS and WVS ask the same question on the same four-point scale; where one country has both samples, the WVS share is a median 2.2 points higher. Trust in people of another nationality (G007_36_B), which the row once also named, is left out because it reads attitudes to foreigners as much as trust. Fieldwork runs from 2017 to 2023 and every value carries the release year 2022. Germany, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands are held, as for interpersonal trust. See D140.

Court case clearance rate

downstream outcomeno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of incoming cases
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
CEPEJ / OECD / national court statistics
History
no data

Note: Whether a court finishes what it starts, counted from case records rather than asked in a survey. D23 named it as the observable replacement for the two retired WGI composites and it has stayed unfilled since. CEPEJ publishes it for Council of Europe members and OECD for its own members, so no single publisher reaches this country set, and a harmonised series needs the project second source adapter. See D57.

Panel estimate, round 2, how this layer works

  • 51.0 institutionalist@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    I move up one point on panelist C's point that the DNA's prosecutions of senior officials are behavioural evidence. I stay well below the indicator score: firm bribery ignores informal payments in health care, interpersonal trust is low, and the 2019 to 2022 judicial changes and the annulled 2024 election strained impartial institutions.

  • 54.0 bottom_up@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    C's point that low firm bribery ignores petty corruption in health care is one I accept, so I trim two points; DNA prosecutions of senior officials remain behavioural evidence beyond reputation, so I stay above A.

  • 52.0 wealth_sceptic@claude-sonnet-5-5, self-confidence 0.35

    DNA prosecutions of senior officials are behavioural evidence beyond reputation, and firm bribery is very low. Petty corruption in health care, low interpersonal trust and the annulled 2024 election temper the 82, so I hold at 52.

Learning

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Human Capital Index

Expected productivity of a child born today relative to full health and complete education.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.584index 0-1
Year
2020. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Human Capital Index

Expected productivity of a child born today relative to full health and complete education.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Firms offering formal training

Share of firms that provide formal training to permanent employees.

Measured in % of firms; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
17.634% of firms
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Firms offering formal training

Share of firms that provide formal training to permanent employees.

Measured in % of firms; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS)
History

Adult learning participation

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Eurostat / OECD PIAAC
History
no data

Note: The best available measure of continuous learning capacity, and it exists only for European and OECD members.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Research citation impact

Share of a country's articles and reviews that are in the top 10% most cited for their subfield and year, as a ratio to the same share across all country-affiliated works.

Measured in ratio to world average; higher is better. Source: OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
0.924ratio to world average
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Research citation impact

Share of a country's articles and reviews that are in the top 10% most cited for their subfield and year, as a ratio to the same share across all country-affiliated works.

Measured in ratio to world average; higher is better. Source: OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent)
History
one year

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Tertiary enrolmentWorld Bank (SE.TER.ENRR), 2023

    55.2 % gross, rank 57 of 124. Gross enrolment ratio in tertiary education.

    A condition, not scored: enrolment counts people in formal education and records nothing learned (D122).

  • Public education expenditureWorld Bank (SE.XPD.TOTL.GD.ZS), 2022

    3.3 % of GDP, rank 88 of 125. Government expenditure on education as a share of GDP.

    A condition, not scored: public spending on education is a pure input, and learning is what the dimension asks about (D122).

  • Vocational share of secondaryWorld Bank (SE.SEC.ENRL.VO.ZS), 2018

    28.1 % of secondary, rank 21 of 125. Vocational pupils as a share of total secondary enrolment.

    A condition, not scored: the share of secondary pupils on a vocational track describes how a school system is built, not what anyone learns in it, and higher is not unambiguously better (D141). It marks a route into skilled work that does not run through university. Learning reads research citation impact, firm training and the human capital index instead.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Romanialinked to Adult learning participationstarted 2002operating below its peak

    ANOFM national vocational training plan, and its fall after 2023

    Romania's National Employment Agency (ANOFM) enrolled 15,634 people in vocational training courses, skills assessment and apprenticeships under its national training plan in 2025, down from 27,843 in 2023, with unemployed trainees falling from 25,420 to 11,082 while the registered unemployment rate rose.

    15,634 people, people included in vocational training, skills assessment or apprenticeship programmes organised by anofm, 2025. 27,843 people, same count two years earlier (anofm activity report for 2023), 2023. Agentia Nationala pentru Ocuparea Fortei de Munca (ANOFM), Raport de activitate al ANOFM pentru anul 2025, section III.1 Formarea profesionala, retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: The national employment agency sets an annual national training plan and delivers it mainly through its own regional adult training centres, free for the registered unemployed and paid for others.

    Limits: The agency reports on itself; the figure is on page 17 of a 59-page PDF, and the plan target (24,440) is on the same page. The 2023 peak is from the agency's 2023 activity report (https://www.anofm.ro/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Raport_activitate_ANOFM_2023.pdf, 27,843 people, 25,420 unemployed), and the 2024 report gives 18,859, so the fall is over two years; earlier years were not read because the 2021 and 2022 report files are not text-searchable, so 2023 is the highest year checked, not a demonstrated all-time peak. The count mixes short courses, competence assessments and workplace apprenticeships (2,257 apprentices in 2025 against 591 in 2024, so the classroom fall is steeper than the total), and counts enrolments, not completions. The registered unemployment rate is from the same reports (2.89 percent average in 2023, 3.24 percent in 2025), so the fall is not explained by fewer unemployed. Against roughly 12 million Romanians aged 25 to 64 the programme reaches about one adult in 800, so it is a delivery record, not a participation rate. The 2002 start is the year the agency's training remit was set in law (Law 76/2002), not read at the source.

Experimentation

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

-3.4 over 10 years, from 20.1 in 2016 to 16.7 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

-4.3 over 20 years, from 21.0 in 2006 to 16.7 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident patent applications

Patent applications filed by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
772per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident patent applications

Patent applications filed by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident trademark applications

Direct trademark applications by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
20988per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident trademark applications

Direct trademark applications by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident industrial design applications

Industrial design applications filed by residents at their national office, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
378per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident industrial design applications

Industrial design applications filed by residents at their national office, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New public software repositories

Growth over one year in the public GitHub repositories located in the country, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
242538per million people
Year
2026. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New public software repositories

Growth over one year in the public GitHub repositories located in the country, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv)
History
no data

Venture deals

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataper million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD / national VC associations
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The id keeps its first name so evidence records, links and published files still resolve. The row asked for venture capital deployed as a share of GDP, a level of financial depth of the kind private credit is (D122). A count of first rounds counts attempts started with outside risk money, which is what this capability asks about, and a large round counts once. Candidates, none wireable: the OECD SME and Entrepreneurship Financing scoreboard carried venture capital for 6 of the 16 countries the frame held on 2026-08-26, as amounts in national currency, latest year 2022, with Brazil, India, South Africa and Singapore absent (D21); national venture capital associations publish counts on their own definitions; commercial deal databases cover the world and are not inspectable (D10). Wireable on an inspectable deal count with one definition of a first round for half the frame or more. Read A1 before treating this dimension as measured.

Early-stage entrepreneurial activity

direct capability measuremissing
Raw value
no data% aged 18-64
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (APS key indicators, TEA rate)
History
no data

Note: From the GEM Adult Population Survey, entered by hand because GEM has no open API. TEA counts every new business, so necessity self-employment scores the same as a funded startup, which is why Chile and Argentina sit above the United States here. Read it as how many people are trying, not as how much value the attempts create. GEM does not run every economy every year: Singapore last took part in 2014 and the recency term marks that value down hard.

Tolerance of entrepreneurial failure

perception proxymissing
Raw value
no data% not deterred
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (APS key indicators, fear of failure rate)
History
no data

Note: Stored as 100 minus the published GEM fear of failure rate, so the direction matches the rest of the registry. GEM measures that rate among adults who already see good opportunities, not among all adults, so the denominator differs from the label. Attitudinal: bankruptcy law and time to discharge would be the observable substitute and are still worth wiring beside it.

Firms through regulatory sandboxes

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no datafirms per million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
national regulators
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked for the number and breadth of live sandboxes, which is a policy stock: a regime can exist with nobody in it. It now counts what passes through: firms a regulator let test under relaxed rules, and firms that came out, authorised, withdrawn or failed. Regulators publish cohort lists and exit reports one by one. The evidence corpus holds 22 records against this row, most of them counts of firms admitted or exited, each on the definition and window of its own regulator, and no register assembles them on one definition (O1 triage sweep, 2026-10-01). A realistic candidate for Envisioning to build from those lists. Wireable on a register that counts admissions and completions on one definition for half the frame or more.

University spinouts

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataper million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
national TTO associations
History
no data

Note: Reported nationally with incompatible definitions of what counts as a spinout.

Business share of R&D

capability inputretired, see notes
Raw value
no data% of R&D
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD MSTI / RICYT
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-10-02. The only working source, OECD MSTI joined with RICYT for Latin America, covers 34 of the 53 countries then in the frame, but the row reads the make-up of a spending stock: who performs the R&D a country pays for. R&D spending itself is a condition since D122, and the share is high both where business research is large (Israel) and where total research is tiny and one firm dominates it (Thailand). State enterprises count as business, so China and Vietnam read their ownership model. UIS stopped publishing the series in 2023. Firms trying new things are read through patents, trademarks, designs and entrepreneurship instead. See D142.

Adaptability

How effectively can the system respond when circumstances change?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Unemployment rate

Unemployed as a share of the labour force, modelled ILO estimate.

Measured in % of labour force; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
5.992% of labour force
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Unemployment rate

Unemployed as a share of the labour force, modelled ILO estimate.

Measured in % of labour force; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Long-term unemployment share

Unemployed for 12 months or more, as a share of total unemployment.

Measured in % of unemployed; lower is better. Source: ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
35.1% of unemployed
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Long-term unemployment share

Unemployed for 12 months or more, as a share of total unemployment.

Measured in % of unemployed; lower is better. Source: ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB)
History
one year

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Export diversification

Concentration of the merchandise export basket across products: the normalised Herfindahl-Hirschman index over SITC Rev.3 3-digit lines, 0 when exports are spread evenly and 1 when one product is everything.

Measured in index 0-1, lower = more diversified; lower is better. Source: UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.108index 0-1, lower = more diversified
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Export diversification

Concentration of the merchandise export basket across products: the normalised Herfindahl-Hirschman index over SITC Rev.3 3-digit lines, 0 when exports are spread evenly and 1 when one product is everything.

Measured in index 0-1, lower = more diversified; lower is better. Source: UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices)
History
one year

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New export products

Share of the products a country did not export competitively in 2009-2011 that it exported competitively in 2022-2024.

Measured in % of products not exported competitively at the start; higher is better. Source: Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ)), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
6.05% of products not exported competitively at the start
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New export products

Share of the products a country did not export competitively in 2009-2011 that it exported competitively in 2022-2024.

Measured in % of products not exported competitively at the start; higher is better. Source: Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ)), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ))
History
one year

Disaster preparedness and recovery

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
INFORM / UNDRR
History
no data

Note: No source observes a country preparing for or recovering from a real shock. INFORM publishes its lack of coping capacity apart from hazard and exposure, but that dimension averages government self-assessments and governance perception indices with stocks such as roads, phones and physicians, which is the perception layer D23 retired plus conditions money buys (D122). Sendai and WHO reporting are governments grading themselves. A warning-reach survey item is a check candidate. See the disaster preparedness memo.

Institutional responsiveness

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No dataset exists. Measurable in principle from legislative and regulatory timestamps, which no one has assembled comparably.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Labour force participationWorld Bank (SL.TLF.ACTI.ZS), 2025

    66.9 % aged 15+, rank 81 of 125. Share of the working-age population in the labour force.

    A condition, not scored: how much of the population is in the labor force at all is what a country has to reallocate, a level set by norms, schooling and age, not a record of it reallocating (D141). Participation norms confound it, especially for India. Adaptability reads reallocation through long-term unemployment and export diversification instead.

  • Fixed broadband subscriptionsWorld Bank (IT.NET.BBND.P2), 2024

    35.8 per 100 people, rank 27 of 125. Fixed broadband subscriptions per 100 people.

    A condition, not scored: installed infrastructure is what a country has to change with, not a record of it changing (D122). Penalizes mobile-first countries such as India and South Africa.

  • Electricity transmission lossesWorld Bank (EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS), 2023

    9.8 % of output, rank 64 of 117. Power lost in transmission and distribution, including unbilled use.

    A condition, not scored: the state of the grid, and whether its operator can bill what it delivers, is infrastructure a country has to change with, not a record of it changing (D141). Read it beside broadband, the other installed network beside Adaptability.

  • Informal employmentILOSTAT (DF_SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT), 2025

    3.2 % of employment, rank 8 of 102. Informal employment as a share of total employment, SDG indicator 8.3.1.

    A condition, not scored: how much work carries no contract, registration or social protection describes the labor market a country reallocates through, not it reallocating (D150). Read it beside the unemployment rate: where most work is informal, a person who loses a job takes any work within weeks, so a low rate is not a fluid market. Its direction for Adaptability cannot be defended, since informal work is both the slack that absorbs a shock and the precarity that keeps a worker from moving up, so the rank orders values and is not a verdict. Comparability is weak: the European values come from an income survey (EU-SILC) with a proxy definition, and the rest from labor force or household surveys processed by the ILO. ILOSTAT has no value for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, Singapore, Israel, Malaysia, China, the Philippines or Cuba, and some values are old (Haiti and Nicaragua 2012).

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Romanialinked to Institutional responsivenessstarted 2020delivered and closed

    State-paid technical unemployment indemnity in the 2020 state of emergency

    Two days after the state of emergency was declared on 16 March 2020, Romania's Government made the unemployment insurance budget pay 75 percent of base salary to employees whose contracts were suspended (Emergency Ordinance 30 of 18 March 2020), and by mid-June 2020 the employment agency ANOFM had approved the indemnity for 2,067,970 employees and paid RON 2,937 million, with 241,453 employer requests approved within the legal deadline and 61 late.

    2,067,970 employees, employees for whom the technical unemployment indemnity was approved, 2020-06-15. 2,937,320 thousand lei, indemnities paid for suspended contracts during the state of emergency, 2020-06-15. Curtea de Conturi a Romaniei (Court of Accounts), special report 'Gestionarea resurselor publice in perioada starii de urgenta', August 2020, retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: The Government took the Labour Code's existing technical unemployment, which employers paid themselves, and by emergency ordinance moved its cost to the unemployment insurance budget for the emergency, with electronic filing and a statutory payment deadline for the county employment agencies.

    Limits: The live PDF at curteadeconturi.ro returned a Cloudflare challenge to a script on the day of retrieval, so the record cites the Internet Archive copy of the same file. The figures are in a 162-page PDF: Table 9 (payments at 15 June 2020) and Table 10 (requests, beneficiaries and on-time approvals by region) on printed page 59, the 2,067,970 and the 2,483,890 employees requested on printed page 60, and the ordinance date (OUG nr. 30/18.03.2020) in the annex on PDF page 132. The audit is independent but the counts are 'date furnizate de ANOFM'. The legal deadline was the agency's own procedural one, and Table 10 counts requests, not days, so the record shows that the agency kept its deadline, not the median time to payment. 409,876 employees' requests were still pending at the cut-off. The indemnity was paid to employers, who passed it to staff; the report finds overpayments and payments to ineligible people among its RON 38.3 million of damages across all emergency spending. The scheme suspended contracts rather than shortening hours, so it is a wage replacement for idle workers, and its speed owes much to an existing Labour Code mechanism that the ordinance financed from the state budget.

  • Romanialinked to Disaster preparedness and recoverystarted 2004delivered and closed

    Hazard Risk Mitigation and Emergency Preparedness Project: seismic retrofitting and the emergency information system

    Romania's Ministry of Administration and Interior and Ministry of Regional Development completed seismic retrofitting of 44 high-risk public buildings, where about 23,350 people worked, and rolled out a modernised emergency communication system to 48 sites under a project approved in May 2004, after cutting the retrofit target from 84 buildings to 40 in 2010 and closing in June 2012 instead of December 2009.

    44 buildings, public buildings with seismic retrofitting completed, 2012-10-30. 84 buildings, high-risk public buildings selected for retrofitting at appraisal, 2004-05-20. World Bank, Implementation Completion and Results Report, Romania Hazard Risk Mitigation and Emergency Preparedness Project (P075163), December 2012, retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: The government used a development loan to strengthen the most dangerous public buildings in the Vrancea seismic zone and to give the emergency inspectorate a shared voice and data network, then trimmed the list as costs rose.

    Limits: The figures are the World Bank's, from a completion report on its own loan, in the PDO indicator table near the front of the document and the restructuring section. The report itself says there was no opportunity to test the retrofitted buildings in the absence of a major earthquake, so the record shows preparation, not demonstrated performance in a shock. The 44 exceeds a target already cut from 84 to 40 because of construction cost increases and currency depreciation, and three buildings were left unfinished when the 2010 to 2011 budgets did not cover ongoing works. The 2007 EU accession forced redesigns, and the government changed seven times in eight years. More than 350 public facilities were assessed at risk at baseline, so 44 is a small share, and the separate Bucharest programme for residential buildings at seismic risk is not covered.

Building

How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?

-5.7 over 10 years, from 30.4 in 2016 to 24.7 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Manufacturing value added

Manufacturing value added as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
11.824% of GDP
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Manufacturing value added

Manufacturing value added as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

High-technology exports

High-technology exports as a share of manufactured exports.

Measured in % of manufactured exports; higher is better. Source: World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
13.45% of manufactured exports
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

High-technology exports

High-technology exports as a share of manufactured exports.

Measured in % of manufactured exports; higher is better. Source: World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS)
History

Logistics infrastructure quality

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataindex 1-5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (LP.LPI.INFR.XQ)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. An LPI sub-index, so the same freight-forwarder survey as logistics performance and the same problem. Electricity connection speed stays as the observable infrastructure measure in this dimension. See D23.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Electricity connection speed

Doing Business score for the days a business waits for a permanent electricity connection.

Measured in score 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
32.174score 0-100
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Electricity connection speed

Doing Business score for the days a business waits for a permanent electricity connection.

Measured in score 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Economic fitness

Diversity and ubiquity-adjusted sophistication of the export basket.

Measured in index; higher is better. Source: World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
0.723index
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Economic fitness

Diversity and ubiquity-adjusted sophistication of the export basket.

Measured in index; higher is better. Source: World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD)
History

Large project delivery

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no data% overrun
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: The single best measure of execution capability and there is no comparable international dataset. Assembling one is a defensible Envisioning project. Building mixes industrial output with state delivery capacity, and this indicator carries the delivery side: the other six indicators cannot see a national programme that was delivered. Documented deliveries are recorded in data/evidence and never scored, see D20.

Firm scale-up rate

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of firms
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD DynEmp
History
no data

Note: OECD business dynamics work covers members irregularly. Nothing comparable for India, Brazil or South Africa.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Output per workerWorld Bank (SL.GDP.PCAP.EM.KD), 2025

    100,238 constant 2021 PPP $, rank 23 of 123. GDP per person employed, constant purchasing power parity.

    A condition, not scored: output per worker is income per worker, the wealth the benchmark tests capability against, so it is published beside Building as context (D122).

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Romanialinked to Large project deliverystarted 2009still operating

    A1 motorway, Bucharest to Nadlac

    Romania's national road administration has built the 582 km A1 motorway in sections, and construction of the sections the auditors timed began in 2009, and in November 2025 the European Court of Auditors found its latest cost estimate 11 percent below the original estimate in real terms, while one EU co-funded section had run 79 months, or 263 percent of its planned time, late.

    -11 % change, change in the a1 motorway's latest cost estimate against the original estimate, 2019 prices, 2025-11. 79 months, longest delay on an eu co-funded a1 motorway action against its planned completion, 2020. European Court of Auditors, Special report 02/2026, EU transport infrastructure (update of special report 10/2020), retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: Romania's national road company split a 582 km corridor into many small procurement lots and financed most of them with EU cohesion and connecting-Europe funds, which kept unit prices visible and auditable but multiplied permits and interfaces.

    Limits: The cost figure is the auditors' aggregate of many sections planned and priced in different years, reindexed to 2019 values from an original estimate whose own date the auditors do not give, and it excludes the Bucharest-Pitesti section; the 2020 report warned that the unfinished Pitesti-Sibiu and Deva-Lugoj stretches left the figures subject to significant change. A real-terms fall can come from cheaper design, deferred scope or optimistic pricing of unbuilt sections, and the report does not say which. The auditors did not compute a schedule delay for the A1 as a whole because its timeline varies by section, and the 2020 report took 2030 as the original opening date only because the TEN-T regulation sets it, so the motorway's schedule performance cannot be read from the cost row. The 2026 update was a desk review of figures supplied by the Commission, national authorities and project promoters, with no site visits. The 79 months is one EU co-funded action, not the whole road, and it compares the Lugoj-Deva lots 2-4 action's planned end of May 2016 with an end date of December 2022 that was still a forecast in 2020. The 2020 report also found โ‚ฌ3.7 million of EU co-funding wasted, a finished Lugoj-Deva stretch left unused and 800 metres of built motorway demolished, and one building permit needed for every 7 km.

Shared Purpose

To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?

+5.2 over 10 years, from 58.7 in 2016 to 63.9 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

+11.4 over 20 years, from 52.5 in 2006 to 63.9 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

+2.2 over 30 years, from 61.7 in 1996 to 63.9 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

Voice and accountability

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_VA.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. Artefact A5: it measures the democratic channel while Shared Purpose asks whether people can see themselves in a common project. Singapore scored 20.9 while being one of the most effective collective actors in the set. Volunteering and civic participation are the observable replacements and are declared gaps; voter turnout is published beside Shared Purpose as a check, because it reads the same democratic channel and compulsory voting (D129). See D23 and A5.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Tax revenue

Central government tax revenue as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
16.206% of GDP
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Tax revenue

Central government tax revenue as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Income inequality

Gini index of disposable income.

Measured in Gini 0-100; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SI.POV.GINI), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
29.8Gini 0-100
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Income inequality

Gini index of disposable income.

Measured in Gini 0-100; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SI.POV.GINI), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (SI.POV.GINI)
History

Sense of national belonging

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% expressing belonging
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (G006)
History
no data

Note: A declared gap again since 2026-10-02 (D151, which supersedes the retirement in D143). The project still wants to know whether people count themselves members of the community whose common project this capability asks about, so the row stays even though no series can fill it. The only cross-national item aimed at it, national pride (G006) in the Joint EVS/WVS, is not wired: pride is not belonging, and it fails the regime test of artefact A13, with electoral autocracies at 75 percent very proud against 47 in liberal democracies. ISSP 2023 asks about closeness to the country in 16 countries. Wireable on an item that reads the same in every regime class, or on a behaviour of belonging, for half the frame or more. High national pride must never be read as the capacity for collective action.

Volunteering

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Gallup World Poll / CAF
History
no data

Note: CAF publishes country figures but the underlying Gallup microdata is proprietary, so it fails the inspectability rule.

Political polarisation

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataindex 0-4
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
V-Dem
History
no data

Note: V-Dem political polarization (v2cacamps) is published beside this dimension as a behavioral check and is not scored, because a regime with no organized opposition reads as calm (D121, A13). The gap stays open for a measure that can tell calm between competing camps from calm where no camp may compete. Pluralism is the target, so only hostile polarization should count against a country.

Civic participation

direct capability measuremissing
Raw value
no data% mentioning
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A080_01)
History
no data

Note: A reported behaviour: the publisher-weighted share of respondents mentioning membership of a humanitarian or charitable organisation, the membership item closest to acting for strangers, in the official Joint EVS/WVS 2017-2022 results table, release 5.0.0. Religious membership is left out because it reads religiosity, and a count of any membership is not published in the aggregate table. The two programmes ask differently: EVS shows a list and asks which the respondent belongs to, WVS reads each type aloud and asks about active or inactive membership, and the joint file counts both kinds of WVS member as mentioned. Where one country has both samples, the WVS share is higher in eight of ten, so part of the spread is question format. Membership is not activity. China reads 2.7% and Vietnam 9.4%, so state mass organisations do not inflate this item. Fieldwork runs from 2017 to 2023 and every value carries the release year 2022. Germany, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands are held, as for interpersonal trust. See D128 and A15.

Behavioral check, not scored

Each number below is published beside the score and stays out of it. It is not in the frame, the average, the indicator count or the confidence.

  • Political polarizationV-Dem (v2cacamps_osp), 2025

    3.878 index 0-4, lower is better. Whether supporters of opposing political camps generally meet in a friendly or a hostile manner, rated by V-Dem country experts from 0, friendly, to 4, hostile.

    The question counts hostility and leaves disagreement alone, which is what pluralism asks for. It is not scored because a low reading has two causes the number cannot tell apart. Where camps compete openly, a calm reading means people who disagree still meet as fellow citizens. Where no opposition may organize, it means there is no camp left to be hostile to. In 2025 the five closed autocracies in the frame average 2.18 and the liberal democracies 1.67, while electoral democracies and electoral autocracies sit near 2.8 and 3.3. Scored, the reading would have lifted the United Arab Emirates about 11 points on this capability for a uniformity the benchmark does not count as shared purpose. Income is not why it is left out: richer countries read only somewhat calmer, at about -0.41 against log GDP per capita.

  • Voter turnoutV-Dem (v2eltrnout), 2025

    64.69 % of registered voters, higher is better. Share of registered voters who cast a vote in the latest national election up to 2025, according to official results, as coded by V-Dem from IDEA, IPU and IFES sources. Where executive and legislative elections fall on the same day, the executive turnout is coded.

    Turnout is the one act in which a whole population takes part in a common decision, so it is the closest behavioral reading of shared purpose the benchmark has. It is not scored for three reasons the number cannot separate. It reads the democratic channel, which is why voice and accountability was retired from this capability (A5): a country with no competitive elections cannot score well for reasons unrelated to whether its people see themselves in a common project. Compulsory voting turns it into a reading of the law: Brazil enforces it, and the eight countries that enforce sanctions average 83 percent against 65 where voting is voluntary. And closed and electoral autocracies manage it: Vietnam reads 95.6, Rwanda 98.2 and Singapore 92.8, which is mobilization, not participation (A13). The year shown is the latest national election, because elections are coded only in the year they happen.

Panel estimate, round 2, how this layer works

  • 42.0 institutionalist@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    I move up two points: the 2025 rerun was held under the constitutional court's ruling with high turnout, so institutions absorbed the 2024 crisis, and the others are right to count the 2017 protests and the 2022 refugee response. Low tax take, mass emigration and a strong anti-system vote still keep me well below the indicator score.

  • 43.0 bottom_up@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    The panel agrees within four points; I trim one for mass emigration and the 2024 to 2025 election crisis, and stay at the top because the 2017 to 2018 protests, the Colectiv mobilisation and the 2022 refugee response show engaged pluralism.

  • 42.0 wealth_sceptic@claude-sonnet-5-5, self-confidence 0.35

    The 2017 and 2018 anti-corruption protests and the 2022 refugee response show collective capacity. Mass emigration, the 2024 election crisis, low trust in parties and a weak tax take show a fractured project, and low inequality is a weak signal, so I hold.