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Challenge the benchmark

Choose a score and give the benchmark a specific reason to reconsider it.

When you submit, the form attaches the current score and confidence for the country and capability you chose.

Submissions are public and start as awaiting review. A maintainer can add a response and signature after review.

Portugal

Strongest usable evidence: Anticipation, at 79.4. Raise Building first, at 42.0. Experimentation needs more evidence: confidence is 0.33.

Raise, lowest first

Raise, lowest first
DimensionConfidenceScore
Building0.5742.0

Measure before managing

Measure before managing
DimensionConfidenceScore
Experimentation0.3342.2
Coordination0.3987.9
Shared Purpose0.4246.6

These lists are the country's capability agenda, computed from the scores. Read the full agenda. It names comparable evidence from other countries and the 18 gaps in the registry.

Why this country is included: Southern European comparison with strong social trust and a long convergence path.

Download this country as CSV

255075100
Anticipation79.4Confidence0.46usableHow capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?
Portugal

Read Portugal beside up to three other countries, down to the indicator behind every row.

  • Usable or good evidence
  • Thin evidence, hollow point. The dashes open further as confidence falls.
  • The point still sits at the score, because confidence never moves it.
  • Click any axis to see every country on that dimension.

A score from 0 to 100 is a position inside the frame that all the benchmark countries set: zero is the weakest on a dimension and 100 is the strongest. A score of 10 puts a country near the floor of that frame and does not mean 10 percent of a capability.

Portugal dimension summary
Coordination

Coordination

How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.393 of 50.81no trendno datano estimate
Anticipation

Anticipation

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.462 of 40.96+10.9(2)67.0-12.4
Adaptability

Adaptability

How effectively can the system respond when circumstances change?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.624 of 61.00no trendno datano estimate
Agency

Agency

How able are individuals and organizations to turn an intention into action?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.564 of 50.75no trendno datano estimate
Learning

Learning

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.543 of 40.78no trendno datano estimate
Trust

Trust

How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.495 of 70.83no trendno datano estimate
Shared Purpose

Shared Purpose

To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.423 of 60.92+1.5(2)52.0+5.4
Experimentation

Experimentation

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.334 of 90.81-13.6(3)no datano estimate
Building

Building

How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?

Scores use one 0 to 100 scale for all countries. Each flag is a country, and the ring around it carries how well evidenced that score is. The band beside each score in the list shows its evidence level, and the last column shows the trend and the number of indicators behind it.

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0.574 of 60.90-0.9(3)no datano estimate

How to read this page

Each dimension has a score from 0 to 100. It shows where this country sits among all 125 countries in the comparison frame, not a percentage. Confidence sits beside the score. A dashed radar edge and hollow point mean the evidence is thin. The records below show each indicator, its raw value, year and source.

A panel estimate, when present, is a separate judgment about what the indicators miss. It does not change the score or confidence. The panel's provenance is shown beside the estimate.

  • direct capability measuredirect capability measure Measures the thing itself.
  • capability inputcapability input Measures something that supports the capability.
  • downstream outcomedownstream outcome Measures a result that usually follows from the capability.
  • perception proxyperception proxy Records what people or experts say, not what they did.

Confidence

  • very thin0.00 to 0.25

    The score rests on one or two indicators. Do not quote it on its own.

  • thin0.25 to 0.45

    A minority of indicators, or evidence old enough to have moved. Read with care.

  • usable0.45 to 0.65

    Enough evidence to compare countries, with known holes.

  • good0.65 and above

    Most indicators observed, recent, from official or intergovernmental sources.

A row marked no dataset exists is a gap: the benchmark wants data that nobody publishes. A retired row has a source this project chose not to use. Both reduce confidence. The glossary defines each term, and the limits page lists where these numbers are known to be wrong about the world.

Anticipation

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

+10.9 over 10 years, from 68.5 in 2016 to 79.4 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Scientific articles

Scientific and technical journal articles published, per million people.

Measured in articles per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
18225.29articles per million people
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Scientific articles

Scientific and technical journal articles published, per million people.

Measured in articles per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Statistical performance

World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators overall score for the national statistical system.

Measured in index 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
90.708index 0-100
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Statistical performance

World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators overall score for the national statistical system.

Measured in index 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL)
History

Government foresight capacity

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No comparable international dataset. OECD and UN work is descriptive, not scored. Envisioning would have to build this.

Long-horizon research commitments

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of new grants
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked for the share of R&D spending classed as basic research, which is the make-up of a spending stock, the construct D142 retired business R&D share for. OECD MSTI publishes that share for its members only, and UNESCO UIS no longer serves R&D by type of research (construct audit, 2026-10-02). The behaviour behind it is a funder committing to a horizon: a grant awarded for five years or more is a decision to wait for a result. Untried: no memo has triaged a grant register. National funders publish award lists one by one with their own durations, and commercial grant aggregators fail the inspectability rule. Wireable on a grant-level register with award and end dates, on one definition of a competitive public grant, for half the frame or more.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • R&D expenditureWorld Bank (GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS), 2023

    1.7 % of GDP, rank 23 of 118. Gross domestic expenditure on research and development as a share of GDP.

    A condition, not scored: money committed to research is what a country spends, and spending it does not show the country reads the future well (D122).

  • Researchers in R&DWorld Bank (SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6), 2023

    5,983 per million people, rank 11 of 114. Full-time-equivalent researchers per million people.

    A condition, not scored: a standing stock of people who could investigate is what a country has, not a record of what they found (D122). Correlates with income but survives size normalization.

  • Secure internet serversWorld Bank (IT.NET.SECR.P6), 2024

    28,710 per million people, rank 30 of 125. Servers using encryption in internet transactions, per million people.

    A condition, not scored: a diffusion stock of digital adoption that money buys, not an act of anticipation (D122). Spans four orders of magnitude, so its rank is read on the published value and its correlations on the logged one.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Government foresight capacitystarted 2022still operating

    PLANAPP and REPLAN, a centre-of-government foresight network

    Portugal's PLANAPP operates as a Centre of Government body for evidence-based foresight, planning, monitoring, evaluation and impact analysis; its REPLAN network lists five multisectoral team remits and held its inaugural meeting on 23 November 2022.

    5 team remits, named multisectoral replan team remits, 2022-11-23. PLANAPP, REPLAN presentation, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Portugal placed foresight, planning, monitoring and evaluation in a centre-of-government body, then connected ministry planning units through REPLAN so cross-cutting work could be commissioned and reviewed across departmental boundaries.

    Limits: The five is a count of named remits on PLANAPP's presentation page, not a verified staffing or output measure; the same page describes the teams as four before listing five. The record therefore evidences a formal foresight-and-coordination architecture and its inaugural date, not continuity across governments, the quality of forecasts or whether advice changed decisions.

Panel estimate, round 2, how this layer works

  • 67.0 institutionalist@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.50

    I move down one point net. Panelist C is right that AGIF, the integrated rural fire agency created after 2017, converted a shock into an institution, but panelist B's point about the April 2025 Iberian blackout shows grid resilience planning lagged the renewables build-out. Planning continuity across governments remains weaker than the research and statistics rows imply.

  • 68.0 bottom_up@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.50

    A's point that PlanAPP is recent and planning continuity across governments is weak is one I accept, so I trim two points; C's credit for the post-2017 rural fire agency is fair, but the 2025 blackout and recurrent fire losses keep me below the indicator score.

  • 63.0 wealth_sceptic@claude-sonnet-5-5, self-confidence 0.40

    Strong research and statistics for the income level, and the post-2017 wildfire agency reform and fast vaccination campaign convert shocks into preparation. Recurrent wildfire losses and the 2025 blackout show a design-delivery gap, so I move up one point but stay below the panelists at 68 to 70.

Agency

How able are individuals and organizations to turn an intention into action?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

New business density

New limited liability companies registered per 1,000 working-age people.

Measured in per 1,000 aged 15-64; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
10.995per 1,000 aged 15-64
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

New business density

New limited liability companies registered per 1,000 working-age people.

Measured in per 1,000 aged 15-64; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.BUS.NDNS.ZS)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to start a business

Calendar days to complete company registration procedures.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
6.5days
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to start a business

Calendar days to complete company registration procedures.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.REG.DURS.MA.DY)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Procedures to start a business

Number of separate official procedures to register a company.

Measured in count; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
6count
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Procedures to start a business

Number of separate official procedures to register a company.

Measured in count; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.REG.PROC.MA.NO)
History

Adults doing digital tasks

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
ITU / UNESCO UIS (SDG 4.4.1, ICT skills by type)
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked whether adults can perform standard digital tasks, which reads a skill level, the kind of stock D122 moved out of the scores with internet users. It now counts the act: a person who did the task. It is not the internet users condition beside it, which counts access. Candidate: ITU ICT skills by type (SDG 4.4.1) through the UNESCO UIS API, probed 2026-10-02. Sent a message with an attached file reaches 33 of the 53 countries then in the frame, 25 at 2018 or later, with no United States, India or China and most of Africa and Central America missing; two other task items reach 31 and 16. The items are self-reported and the task list has changed between rounds. Wireable on one task observed for half the frame or more at 2018 or later.

perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Perceived control over life

Self-reported freedom of choice and control over the course of one’s life.

Measured in mean 1-10; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A173), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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perception proxyobserved
Raw value
7.1mean 1-10
Year
2022. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Perceived control over life

Self-reported freedom of choice and control over the course of one’s life.

Measured in mean 1-10; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A173), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A173)
History
one year

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Individuals using the internetWorld Bank (IT.NET.USER.ZS), 2024

    88.5 % of population, rank 49 of 125. Share of the population that used the internet in the last three months.

    A condition, not scored: access to the basic tool of modern agency is what people have to act with, not a record of them acting (D122). Saturates near 95%, which compresses the top of the range.

  • Financial account ownershipWorld Bank (FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS), 2024

    91.4 % aged 15+, rank 31 of 122. Adults with an account at a bank or mobile money provider.

    A condition, not scored: holding an account is the precondition for almost any economic action, not the action (D122). Global Findex, published every three years.

  • Credit to the private sectorWorld Bank (FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS), 2024

    77.1 % of GDP, rank 29 of 124. Domestic credit provided to the private sector by financial corporations.

    A condition, not scored: financial depth is a stock of money available to actors, not what they do with it (D122). High values can also signal a credit bubble, so more is not always better.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Adults doing digital tasksstarted 2007dismantled

    e.escola, a national laptop-and-broadband push

    The European Commission's eSchool case study records more than 1.3 million people requesting laptops and broadband through Portugal's e.escola programme and more than one million laptops delivered in its first two years; the Portuguese government suspended the programme in 2011.

    1,300,000 people, people requesting laptops and broadband (more than), 2007-2009. 1,000,000 laptops, laptops delivered in the first two years (more than), 2007-2009. European Commission Interoperable Europe, eSchool Programme (Portugal case), retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: The state used a dedicated fund and mobile-operator partnership to put subsidised laptops and broadband into the hands of students, teachers and adult trainees, using schools and private partners for decentralised delivery.

    Limits: Device distribution measures access, not sustained use, adult or student digital competence, learning outcomes or affordability after the subsidy. The scale figures come from the programme case study, while the suspension is recorded in a Portuguese government archive; the partnership and outstanding state payments also complicate any simple claim of a completed success.

Coordination

How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

Government effectiveness

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_GE.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. The WGI aggregate the opinions of experts and firms, and in this set the four WGI series correlate with each other between 0.93 and 0.98 while correlating with log GDP per capita at 0.91. That is one perception of national wealth counted in three dimensions. Cross-agency delivery records are the replacement and they are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

Regulatory quality

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_RQ.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. Same measurement as government effectiveness, filed under a different name, correlating with it above 0.93. See D23 and A4.

Logistics performance

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataindex 1-5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. The LPI is a survey of international freight forwarders, so it records how a country looks to global logistics firms. A small country with a small port scores low whatever its state can organise, which is artefact A9. Container throughput and border time are observable and stay. See D23.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Border compliance time to export

Hours to complete customs and border compliance for a standard export shipment.

Measured in hours; lower is better. Source: World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0hours
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Border compliance time to export

Hours to complete customs and border compliance for a standard export shipment.

Measured in hours; lower is better. Source: World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (TRD.ACRS.BRDR.EXPT.BRDR.COMP.HR.DB1619)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Budget execution fidelity

Distance between primary government expenditure and the original approved budget.

Measured in percentage points from approved budget; lower is better. Source: World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
103.034percentage points from approved budget
Year
2022. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Budget execution fidelity

Distance between primary government expenditure and the original approved budget.

Measured in percentage points from approved budget; lower is better. Source: World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (GF.XPD.BUDG.ZS)
History

University-industry collaboration

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Innovation Index
History
no data

Note: GII carries it, but the underlying item is a WEF executive opinion survey whose microdata is not inspectable. Excluded on principle 4.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civil society strength

Autonomy, density and participatory reach of civil society organisations.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2x_cspart), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.711index 0-1
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civil society strength

Autonomy, density and participatory reach of civil society organisations.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2x_cspart), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
V-Dem (v2x_cspart)
History
one year

Public-private collaboration

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No comparable dataset. PPP investment databases measure infrastructure finance, not collaboration capacity.

Behavioral check, not scored

Each number below is published beside the score and stays out of it. It is not in the frame, the average, the indicator count or the confidence.

  • Customs clearance time for exportsWorld Bank (IC.CUS.DURS.EX), 2023

    7.712 days, lower is better. Average number of days to clear direct exports through customs, as reported by manufacturing firms that export directly, in the World Bank Enterprise Surveys.

    Days a manufacturer that exports directly says its goods took to clear customs, from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys. It is the time the border took on firms' own shipments, current where the Doing Business border time this capability scores is frozen at 2019. It is not scored for two reasons. The number of firms behind each country's figure is published only in the survey microdata, and on a proxy from the published tables 37 of the 53 countries in the frame when it was checked clear 30 exporting firms; Mexico, the Philippines, Israel and nine others may not. And the question changed: surveys fielded from 2024 also ask how long release took across all border agencies, and drop an answer where customs alone took longer, so a country surveyed on both sides of the change can move severalfold with nothing at its border changing. India reads 17.3 days in 2022 and 2.5 in 2025, on more than 9,000 firms each time. No country in the frame has two surveys on the new questionnaire yet. Income is not why it is left out: it barely tracks log GDP per capita.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to University-industry collaborationstarted 2017still operating

    Portugal's CoLAB applied-research network

    Portugal's Agência Nacional de Inovação reported 41 recognized Collaborative Laboratories (CoLABs), and its 2024 innovation report recorded 639 highly qualified staff contracted by CoLABs, 32 percent of them PhDs.

    41 CoLABs, recognized collaborative laboratories, 2024. 639 staff, highly qualified staff contracted by colabs, 2024. Agência Nacional de Inovação, Relatório Nacional de Inovação 2024, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: Portugal gives mission-led applied-research organisations a formal recognition and monitoring route, then combines public base or competitive funding with industry-facing agendas so researchers have an institution whose job is to carry work across the university-business boundary.

    Limits: The network and staffing totals show institutional reach, not research quality, business adoption, additionality or durable jobs. CoLABs are separate private non-profit entities and report through the programme; the figures do not cover every university-industry link or establish that public recognition caused the reported staffing.

  • Portugallinked to Public-private collaborationstarted 2021still operating

    Agendas Mobilizadoras and green innovation alliances

    Portugal's PRR transparency portal reports 52 Agendas Mobilizadoras and Verdes representing €5,278,338,665.70 of approved investment and €3,051,632,468.10 of approved support as of 17 August 2026.

    52 consortia/agendas, agendas mobilizadoras and verdes represented, 2026-08-17. 5,278,338,665.7 EUR, approved investment across the agendas, 2026-08-17. Portal Mais Transparência / Estrutura de Missão Recuperar Portugal, PRR project C05-i01.01, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Portugal used an open call to assemble firms, research organisations, clusters and public bodies into contract-based consortia, then tied public support to innovation, production, skills and technology-transfer work inside each agenda.

    Limits: Approved investment and support are programme commitments, not money spent, products delivered, export growth or additional private R&D. The portal aggregates consortia with different sectors and execution rates, and the figures are reported by the programme itself; they show a coordination mechanism at national scale, not that every alliance will complete its milestones by the 2026 deadline.

Trust

How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

Rule of law

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_RL.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite correlating with control of corruption above 0.95 and with log GDP per capita at 0.83. Court throughput and case clearance rates are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

Control of corruption

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_CC.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite. It measures reputation for corruption, which is not the same thing as corruption, and it tracks income closely. Prosecution and audit records are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to enforce a contract

Calendar days from filing a commercial claim to payment.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
755days
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Time to enforce a contract

Calendar days from filing a commercial claim to payment.

Measured in days; lower is better. Source: World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (ENF.CONT.DURS.DY)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Bribery incidence

Firms asked for at least one bribe payment across six public transactions covering utilities, permits, licences and taxes.

Measured in % of firms; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
7.674% of firms
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Bribery incidence

Firms asked for at least one bribe payment across six public transactions covering utilities, permits, licences and taxes.

Measured in % of firms; lower is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Government compliance with the courts

How often the government complies with important decisions of the ordinary and specialised courts that it disagrees with.

Measured in scale 0-4 (never to always); higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
3.403scale 0-4 (never to always)
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Government compliance with the courts

How often the government complies with important decisions of the ordinary and specialised courts that it disagrees with.

Measured in scale 0-4 (never to always); higher is better. Source: V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
V-Dem (v2jucomp_osp)
History
one year

Intentional homicide rate

downstream outcomeretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataper 100,000 people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (VC.IHR.PSRC.P5)
History
no data

Note: Added 2026-08-26 by D23 as the observable replacement for two retired WGI perception composites, and retired 2026-08-27 by D44 when the diagnostic built in D42 measured what it was doing. It raised this dimension's correlation with log GDP per capita by 0.288, from 0.096 to 0.385, the largest single wealth contribution anywhere in the model. It was added to fix wealth contamination and it was the wealth contamination. The dataset is sound and the objection is to what it measures here: homicide is driven heavily by organised crime, a society can be physically safe while trusting very little, and across this country set the variation it carries is mostly income. Behavioural trust measures remain a gap.

perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Generalised interpersonal trust

Share agreeing that most people can be trusted.

Measured in % agreeing; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A165), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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perception proxyobserved
Raw value
16.9% agreeing
Year
2022. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Generalised interpersonal trust

Share agreeing that most people can be trusted.

Measured in % agreeing; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A165), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A165)
History
one year

Trust in public institutions

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% expressing confidence
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD Trust Survey / WVS
History
no data

Note: The OECD survey covers members only. Mixing it with WVS items for India and South Africa would break comparability. The Joint EVS/WVS confidence battery (E069) reaches 37 countries from one release, and confidence in the courts (E069_17) is published beside Trust as a check under this id rather than scored: every item of the battery tested (courts, civil service, police, parliament and government) reads higher in the closed and electoral autocracies of the frame than in its democracies, which is deference as much as confidence (A13). The gap stays open for a measure that does not reward a court that cannot rule against the state. See D132.

perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Cooperation beyond the in-group

Share of adults who trust people they meet for the first time completely or somewhat.

Measured in % expressing trust; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (G007_34_B), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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perception proxyobserved
Raw value
35.2% expressing trust
Year
2022. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
perception proxyRecords what people or experts say, not what they did.

Cooperation beyond the in-group

Share of adults who trust people they meet for the first time completely or somewhat.

Measured in % expressing trust; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (G007_34_B), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Joint EVS/WVS (G007_34_B)
History
one year

Court case clearance rate

downstream outcomeno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no data% of incoming cases
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
CEPEJ / OECD / national court statistics
History
no data

Note: Whether a court finishes what it starts, counted from case records rather than asked in a survey. D23 named it as the observable replacement for the two retired WGI composites and it has stayed unfilled since. CEPEJ publishes it for Council of Europe members and OECD for its own members, so no single publisher reaches this country set, and a harmonised series needs the project second source adapter. See D57.

Behavioral check, not scored

Each number below is published beside the score and stays out of it. It is not in the frame, the average, the indicator count or the confidence.

  • Confidence in the courtsJoint EVS/WVS (E069_17), 2022

    6.5 % a great deal, higher is better. Share of survey respondents saying they have a great deal of confidence in the justice system and courts, of the four answers a great deal, quite a lot, not very much and none at all, in the Joint EVS/WVS 2017 to 2022 survey round.

    Confidence in the courts is the public half of what this capability asks: whether people expect the rules to be enforced when a stranger breaks them. It is not scored because the survey answer reads two things the number cannot tell apart. Where courts are independent, confidence is a judgment of how they perform. Where they answer to the state, it is also deference, and saying otherwise to an interviewer has a cost. In this frame the pattern runs the wrong way. India, the Philippines and Indonesia, all electoral autocracies in the V-Dem 2025 classification, lead on the share saying a great deal, and Vietnam and China, the two closed autocracies surveyed, lead once quite a lot is counted too. The ten electoral autocracies average 21.8 percent saying a great deal and the two closed autocracies 28.1, against 13.6 for liberal and 8.4 for electoral democracies. Scored, it would rank highest the states whose courts are least able to rule against them. Income is not why it is left out: the share correlates about -0.18 with log GDP per capita. The value is the share saying a great deal; the share saying quite a lot is in the source note.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Court case clearance ratestarted 2013still operating

    Civil-court clearance and the CEPEJ monitoring series

    The CEPEJ Portugal country fiche records a 96.1% clearance rate for civil and commercial litigious cases at first instance in 2023, alongside 101.1% at second instance and 105.5% at the Supreme Court; first-instance disposition time was 267 days.

    96.1 % of incoming cases, first-instance civil and commercial clearance rate, 2023. 267 days, first-instance disposition time, 2023. European Commission for the Efficiency of Justice (CEPEJ), Portugal country fiche, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Portugal's courts feed case-flow data into a recurring national and European monitoring framework, making incoming, resolved and pending civil cases visible by instance and allowing backlog pressure to be compared over time.

    Limits: The clearance rate is an administrative throughput measure for one year and one case class, not a judgment-quality, access-to-justice or public-trust measure. Disposition time is a theoretical estimate derived from pending and resolved cases, and rates differ sharply by court instance; CEPEJ republishes national data and the fiche cannot identify which reforms or court-management practices caused the result.

Learning

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Human Capital Index

Expected productivity of a child born today relative to full health and complete education.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.769index 0-1
Year
2020. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Human Capital Index

Expected productivity of a child born today relative to full health and complete education.

Measured in index 0-1; higher is better. Source: World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (HD.HCI.OVRL)
History

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Firms offering formal training

Share of firms that provide formal training to permanent employees.

Measured in % of firms; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
39.516% of firms
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Firms offering formal training

Share of firms that provide formal training to permanent employees.

Measured in % of firms; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.FRM.TRNG.ZS)
History

Adult learning participation

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 2 records
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Eurostat / OECD PIAAC
History
no data

Note: The best available measure of continuous learning capacity, and it exists only for European and OECD members.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Research citation impact

Share of a country's articles and reviews that are in the top 10% most cited for their subfield and year, as a ratio to the same share across all country-affiliated works.

Measured in ratio to world average; higher is better. Source: OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
1.286ratio to world average
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Research citation impact

Share of a country's articles and reviews that are in the top 10% most cited for their subfield and year, as a ratio to the same share across all country-affiliated works.

Measured in ratio to world average; higher is better. Source: OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
OpenAlex (citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent)
History
one year

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Tertiary enrolmentWorld Bank (SE.TER.ENRR), 2023

    77.7 % gross, rank 28 of 124. Gross enrolment ratio in tertiary education.

    A condition, not scored: enrolment counts people in formal education and records nothing learned (D122).

  • Public education expenditureWorld Bank (SE.XPD.TOTL.GD.ZS), 2022

    4.6 % of GDP, rank 50 of 125. Government expenditure on education as a share of GDP.

    A condition, not scored: public spending on education is a pure input, and learning is what the dimension asks about (D122).

  • Vocational share of secondaryWorld Bank (SE.SEC.ENRL.VO.ZS), 2018

    23.9 % of secondary, rank 29 of 125. Vocational pupils as a share of total secondary enrolment.

    A condition, not scored: the share of secondary pupils on a vocational track describes how a school system is built, not what anyone learns in it, and higher is not unambiguously better (D141). It marks a route into skilled work that does not run through university. Learning reads research citation impact, firm training and the human capital index instead.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Adult learning participationstarted 2017still operating

    Programa Qualifica and Portugal's adult-learning network

    Portugal's ANQEP reported 1,025,569 cumulative Qualifica registrations by December 2023; 90 percent received a training or recognition, validation and certification referral, and 510,113 registrants obtained some certification.

    1,025,569 registrations, cumulative qualifica registrations, 2023-12. 510,113 people, registrants receiving a certification, 2023-12. ANQEP, Plano de Atividades 2024, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: A national network of Centros Qualifica gives adults a common entry point for counselling, recognition and validation of prior learning (RVCC), formal training and a portable qualification record, linking fragmented providers to a visible pathway.

    Limits: These are cumulative programme reach and certification totals, not an annual participation rate, completion quality, learning gain or employment and wage effect. The count can include partial certifications and administrative registrations, and it does not identify how many participants would have qualified without Qualifica; ANQEP reports the programme's own administrative data.

  • Portugallinked to Adult learning participationstarted 2006dismantled

    Novas Oportunidades, and the qualification-policy interruption

    ANQEP's national review records 1,568,490 adult enrolments in Novas Oportunidades between 2006 and July 2011; after the initiative's peak and a period of disinvestment, Portugal launched Qualifica in 2017 and rebuilt a network of more than 300 Centros Qualifica.

    1,568,490 adult enrolments, adult enrolments in novas oportunidades, 2011-07. 300 centres (more than), centros qualifica in the replacement network, 2017. ANQEP, Plano Nacional de Literacia de Adultos, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: Novas Oportunidades scaled adult qualification through recognition and validation of prior learning (RVCC), adult education and training (EFA) routes and a national delivery network; when political and fiscal support receded, the infrastructure contracted and a successor programme had to rebuild entry points.

    Limits: Enrolment is a reach measure, not completed learning, quality, labour-market effect or value for money. The review's 1.57 million figure covers a high-activity period, while the later 300-plus-centre figure describes the replacement network rather than retained Novas Oportunidades capacity; the record evidences interruption and rebuilding, not a causal estimate of the policy's return.

Experimentation

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

-13.6 over 10 years, from 56.2 in 2016 to 42.6 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

+21.1 over 20 years, from 21.5 in 2006 to 42.6 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident patent applications

Patent applications filed by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
711per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident patent applications

Patent applications filed by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.PAT.RESD)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident trademark applications

Direct trademark applications by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
32344per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident trademark applications

Direct trademark applications by residents, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.TMK.RSCT)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident industrial design applications

Industrial design applications filed by residents at their national office, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
1008per million people
Year
2021. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Resident industrial design applications

Industrial design applications filed by residents at their national office, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IP.IDS.RSCT)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New public software repositories

Growth over one year in the public GitHub repositories located in the country, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
251156per million people
Year
2026. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New public software repositories

Growth over one year in the public GitHub repositories located in the country, per million people.

Measured in per million people; higher is better. Source: GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
GitHub Innovation Graph (data/repositories.csv)
History
no data

Venture deals

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 1 record
Raw value
no dataper million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD / national VC associations
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The id keeps its first name so evidence records, links and published files still resolve. The row asked for venture capital deployed as a share of GDP, a level of financial depth of the kind private credit is (D122). A count of first rounds counts attempts started with outside risk money, which is what this capability asks about, and a large round counts once. Candidates, none wireable: the OECD SME and Entrepreneurship Financing scoreboard carried venture capital for 6 of the 16 countries the frame held on 2026-08-26, as amounts in national currency, latest year 2022, with Brazil, India, South Africa and Singapore absent (D21); national venture capital associations publish counts on their own definitions; commercial deal databases cover the world and are not inspectable (D10). Wireable on an inspectable deal count with one definition of a first round for half the frame or more. Read A1 before treating this dimension as measured.

Early-stage entrepreneurial activity

direct capability measuremissing
Raw value
no data% aged 18-64
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (APS key indicators, TEA rate)
History
no data

Note: From the GEM Adult Population Survey, entered by hand because GEM has no open API. TEA counts every new business, so necessity self-employment scores the same as a funded startup, which is why Chile and Argentina sit above the United States here. Read it as how many people are trying, not as how much value the attempts create. GEM does not run every economy every year: Singapore last took part in 2014 and the recency term marks that value down hard.

Tolerance of entrepreneurial failure

perception proxymissing
Raw value
no data% not deterred
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (APS key indicators, fear of failure rate)
History
no data

Note: Stored as 100 minus the published GEM fear of failure rate, so the direction matches the rest of the registry. GEM measures that rate among adults who already see good opportunities, not among all adults, so the denominator differs from the label. Attitudinal: bankruptcy law and time to discharge would be the observable substitute and are still worth wiring beside it.

Firms through regulatory sandboxes

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 2 records
Raw value
no datafirms per million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
national regulators
History
no data

Note: Redefined 2026-10-02 (D152). The row asked for the number and breadth of live sandboxes, which is a policy stock: a regime can exist with nobody in it. It now counts what passes through: firms a regulator let test under relaxed rules, and firms that came out, authorised, withdrawn or failed. Regulators publish cohort lists and exit reports one by one. The evidence corpus holds 22 records against this row, most of them counts of firms admitted or exited, each on the definition and window of its own regulator, and no register assembles them on one definition (O1 triage sweep, 2026-10-01). A realistic candidate for Envisioning to build from those lists. Wireable on a register that counts admissions and completions on one definition for half the frame or more.

University spinouts

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataper million people
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
national TTO associations
History
no data

Note: Reported nationally with incompatible definitions of what counts as a spinout.

Business share of R&D

capability inputretired, see notes
Raw value
no data% of R&D
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD MSTI / RICYT
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-10-02. The only working source, OECD MSTI joined with RICYT for Latin America, covers 34 of the 53 countries then in the frame, but the row reads the make-up of a spending stock: who performs the R&D a country pays for. R&D spending itself is a condition since D122, and the share is high both where business research is large (Israel) and where total research is tiny and one firm dominates it (Thailand). State enterprises count as business, so China and Vietnam read their ownership model. UIS stopped publishing the series in 2023. Firms trying new things are read through patents, trademarks, designs and entrepreneurship instead. See D142.

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Venture dealsstarted 2012still operating

    Portugal Ventures, a public venture-capital bridge

    Portugal Ventures, the public venture-capital company in the Banco Português de Fomento group, reports €233.2 million invested in 256 new companies since 2012 and €283 million under management.

    233,200,000 EUR invested, invested since launch, 2026-08-31. 256 companies, new companies backed since launch, 2026-08-31. Portugal Ventures, institutional performance figures, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: A state-backed investor supplies pre-seed, seed and Series A capital, often alongside private investors, using staged minority investments and portfolio support to bridge companies that are too early for ordinary bank finance.

    Limits: These are company-reported cumulative portfolio figures, not venture-capital investment as a share of GDP, additionality, exits, survival, jobs or a counterfactual. The homepage does not give a full reference-year methodology, and the totals can include private co-investment effects as well as Portugal Ventures' own capital.

  • Portugallinked to Firms through regulatory sandboxesstarted 2022still operating

    Rede Nacional de Test Beds for company experimentation

    ANI's National Innovation Report records 47 recognised Portuguese test beds and €150 million allocated to the national network for developing and testing new products and services at technology-readiness levels 5 to 9.

    47 test beds, recognised test beds, 2024-12-31. 150,000,000 EUR, prr allocation to the test-bed network, 2022-2025. Agência Nacional de Inovação, Relatório Nacional de Inovação 2024, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Portugal funded and recognised shared facilities where SMEs and startups can develop and test near-market products, lowering the cost of moving an experiment from prototype toward demonstration without requiring every firm to build its own laboratory.

    Limits: The count and allocation show a national experimentation infrastructure, not the number of live trials, firms served, products commercialised or regulatory changes that resulted. ANI's report says 47 were recognised at publication but gives no common utilisation definition, and the €150 million is an allocation rather than completed spending or additional private investment.

  • Portugallinked to Firms through regulatory sandboxesstarted 2021still operating

    Zonas Livres Tecnológicas, regulator-supervised experimentation zones

    ANI's National Innovation Report records four Portuguese Zonas Livres Tecnológicas (technological free zones) by the end of 2024, where innovators can test technology-based processes in real or near-real environments under continuous regulator supervision.

    4 zones, technological free zones identified, 2024-12-31. Agência Nacional de Inovação, Relatório Nacional de Inovação 2024, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Portugal created a legal route for regulators and innovators to run controlled tests in defined physical environments, using supervised evidence from those tests to clarify or adapt rules where existing law is uncertain.

    Limits: Four zones are an institutional count, not a measure of trials, firms admitted, time to authorisation or successful regulatory adaptation. ANI's report uses a 31 December 2024 cutoff and does not provide a common utilisation or outcome series, so the record shows that a sandbox channel exists rather than that it is broad or effective.

Adaptability

How effectively can the system respond when circumstances change?

No trend is shown because too few indicators have values at both ends. The rows below still show the available history.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Unemployment rate

Unemployed as a share of the labour force, modelled ILO estimate.

Measured in % of labour force; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
6.164% of labour force
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Unemployment rate

Unemployed as a share of the labour force, modelled ILO estimate.

Measured in % of labour force; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Long-term unemployment share

Unemployed for 12 months or more, as a share of total unemployment.

Measured in % of unemployed; lower is better. Source: ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
36.8% of unemployed
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Long-term unemployment share

Unemployed for 12 months or more, as a share of total unemployment.

Measured in % of unemployed; lower is better. Source: ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
ILOSTAT (DF_UNE_TUNE_SEX_AGE_DUR_NB)
History
one year

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Export diversification

Concentration of the merchandise export basket across products: the normalised Herfindahl-Hirschman index over SITC Rev.3 3-digit lines, 0 when exports are spread evenly and 1 when one product is everything.

Measured in index 0-1, lower = more diversified; lower is better. Source: UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
0.076index 0-1, lower = more diversified
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Export diversification

Concentration of the merchandise export basket across products: the normalised Herfindahl-Hirschman index over SITC Rev.3 3-digit lines, 0 when exports are spread evenly and 1 when one product is everything.

Measured in index 0-1, lower = more diversified; lower is better. Source: UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
UNCTAD (US.ConcentDiversIndices)
History
one year

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New export products

Share of the products a country did not export competitively in 2009-2011 that it exported competitively in 2022-2024.

Measured in % of products not exported competitively at the start; higher is better. Source: Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ)), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
5.69% of products not exported competitively at the start
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

New export products

Share of the products a country did not export competitively in 2009-2011 that it exported competitively in 2022-2024.

Measured in % of products not exported competitively at the start; higher is better. Source: Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ)), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Harvard Growth Lab (hs92_country_product_year_4.csv (doi:10.7910/DVN/T4CHWJ))
History
one year

Disaster preparedness and recovery

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 3 records
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
INFORM / UNDRR
History
no data

Note: No source observes a country preparing for or recovering from a real shock. INFORM publishes its lack of coping capacity apart from hazard and exposure, but that dimension averages government self-assessments and governance perception indices with stocks such as roads, phones and physicians, which is the perception layer D23 retired plus conditions money buys (D122). Sendai and WHO reporting are governments grading themselves. A warning-reach survey item is a check candidate. See the disaster preparedness memo.

Institutional responsiveness

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 3 records
Raw value
no dataindex 0-100
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: No dataset exists. Measurable in principle from legislative and regulatory timestamps, which no one has assembled comparably.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Labour force participationWorld Bank (SL.TLF.ACTI.ZS), 2025

    77.8 % aged 15+, rank 27 of 125. Share of the working-age population in the labour force.

    A condition, not scored: how much of the population is in the labor force at all is what a country has to reallocate, a level set by norms, schooling and age, not a record of it reallocating (D141). Participation norms confound it, especially for India. Adaptability reads reallocation through long-term unemployment and export diversification instead.

  • Fixed broadband subscriptionsWorld Bank (IT.NET.BBND.P2), 2024

    45.2 per 100 people, rank 6 of 125. Fixed broadband subscriptions per 100 people.

    A condition, not scored: installed infrastructure is what a country has to change with, not a record of it changing (D122). Penalizes mobile-first countries such as India and South Africa.

  • Electricity transmission lossesWorld Bank (EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS), 2024

    9.7 % of output, rank 60 of 117. Power lost in transmission and distribution, including unbilled use.

    A condition, not scored: the state of the grid, and whether its operator can bill what it delivers, is infrastructure a country has to change with, not a record of it changing (D141). Read it beside broadband, the other installed network beside Adaptability.

  • Informal employmentILOSTAT (DF_SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT), 2025

    2.3 % of employment, rank 5 of 102. Informal employment as a share of total employment, SDG indicator 8.3.1.

    A condition, not scored: how much work carries no contract, registration or social protection describes the labor market a country reallocates through, not it reallocating (D150). Read it beside the unemployment rate: where most work is informal, a person who loses a job takes any work within weeks, so a low rate is not a fluid market. Its direction for Adaptability cannot be defended, since informal work is both the slack that absorbs a shock and the precarity that keeps a worker from moving up, so the rank orders values and is not a verdict. Comparability is weak: the European values come from an income survey (EU-SILC) with a proxy definition, and the rest from labor force or household surveys processed by the ILO. ILOSTAT has no value for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, Singapore, Israel, Malaysia, China, the Philippines or Cuba, and some values are old (Haiti and Nicaragua 2012).

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Institutional responsivenessstarted 2014still operating

    Chave Móvel Digital and Portugal's digital identity layer

    Portugal's digital-government platform reported 4.4 million active Chave Móvel Digital credentials and 141 million authentications by 23 October 2025, with 490 entities using Autenticação.gov.

    4,400,000 active digital identities, active chave móvel digital credentials, 2025-10-23. 141,000,000 authentications, authentications through autenticação.gov, 2025-10-23. Portugal Digital / ARTE, Identidade Digital statistics, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: Portugal made one state-certified mobile credential usable for authentication and signatures across public services and participating private services, so each new service can reuse an existing identity rather than build a separate account system.

    Limits: These are administrative adoption and usage totals, not measures of service quality, inclusion, authentication success, fraud or trust. An active credential is not necessarily a unique active person, and the government platform reports the totals itself; the figures do not show whether citizens can complete the services they authenticate for.

  • Portugallinked to Institutional responsivenessstarted 2005still operating

    Empresa na Hora and the one-stop company registry

    Portugal's IRN reports 369,447 societies created through Empresa na Hora over its first 20 years; the service is available at more than 200 posts and averages 41 minutes from formation to registration.

    369,447 companies, companies created through empresa na hora, 2025-08. 41 minutes, average service time, 2025-08. Instituto dos Registos e do Notariado, Empresa na Hora 20-year results, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: A single state counter combines name approval, incorporation and registration, passes the record between public services electronically and later extends the same workflow online, converting a multi-agency legal process into one accountable transaction.

    Limits: The throughput and elapsed-time figures measure a standard incorporation route, not the full time or cost of becoming operational, survival, access for less standard firms or the quality of subsequent regulation. IRN reports its own service and cumulative count, and the average can hide variation by company type, name choice and whether applicants arrive prepared.

  • Portugallinked to Disaster preparedness and recoverystarted 2018still operating

    Sistema de Gestão Integrada de Fogos Rurais

    Portugal's integrated rural-fire system reported 85 of 97 national-action projects in progress and 48 percent cumulative execution in 2024; €638 million was spent that year, with 55 percent on prevention, even as 137,651 hectares burned.

    85 projects, national-action projects in progress, 2024. 638,000,000 EUR, sgifr expenditure, 2024. Agência para a Gestão Integrada de Fogos Rurais, SGIFR annual results 2024, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: After the 2017 fires, Portugal replaced a mainly suppression-led model with a cross-government system linking prevention, landscape management, preparedness, suppression and recovery, coordinated by AGIF and reported against a national action programme.

    Limits: Projects in progress and spending are capacity measures, not proof that communities are safe; the 2024 burned-area and mortality figures show the residual risk plainly. Annual fire outcomes also depend on weather, land use and ignition behaviour, so the record cannot identify the causal contribution of coordination, prevention or suppression spending.

  • Portugallinked to Institutional responsivenessstarted 2006still operating

    Simplex and LabX, a standing simplification-and-experimentation loop

    AMA's 2022 activity report records 48 Simplex administrative-simplification measures, 24 PRR and modernisation milestones executed, and 62 innovation, participation and simplification activities across the agency's portfolio.

    48 measures, simplex measures in the 2022 edition, 2022. 62 activities, innovation, participation and simplification activities, 2022. Agência para a Modernização Administrativa, Activity Report 2022, retrieved 2026-10-02.

    How it worked: Portugal pairs a rolling political simplification agenda with a public-sector innovation lab: Simplex names and tracks changes, while LabX researches user needs, co-creates prototypes and tests service redesign before agencies adopt it.

    Limits: Counting measures and workshops shows an administrative improvement pipeline, not reduced burden, faster case resolution or better user outcomes. AMA reports its own activity, and combining the recurring Simplex programme with LabX experiments hides which initiatives reached routine service delivery and which remained pilots. AMA has since been renamed ARTE and no longer hosts the report, so the record cites a Wayback Machine snapshot (6 May 2024) of the original PDF.

  • Portugallinked to Disaster preparedness and recoverystarted 1965still operating

    Programa Nacional de Vacinação and seasonal immunisation

    Portugal's DGS reported 86 percent immunisation of eligible infants in the first RSV campaign, 98–99 percent first-year coverage for the universal childhood schedule, and nearly four million seasonal vaccines administered in 2024–2025.

    86 %, eligible infants immunised against rsv, 2024-2025. 98 %, universal-schedule first-year coverage (lower bound), 2024. Direção-Geral da Saúde, Programa Nacional de Vacinação annual results, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: A national schedule, procurement and registry make routine childhood vaccination a standing service, while seasonal campaigns add new products, broaden delivery through pharmacies and publish coverage by age and municipality so the system can adapt to a changing respiratory threat.

    Limits: Coverage is not the same as immunity, health impact or equal access, and the rounded seasonal-dose total is not a count of unique people. These figures mainly cover Portugal Continental and the DGS reports the programme's administrative data; high routine coverage can coexist with gaps in older groups, migrants or particular municipalities.

  • Portugallinked to Disaster preparedness and recoverystarted 2020dismantled

    STAYAWAY COVID, a contact-tracing app suspended after the emergency

    Portugal launched the voluntary STAYAWAY COVID exposure-notification app on 1 September 2020; the European Commission's case study records more than 3.2 million downloads and says the app was later suspended.

    3,200,000 downloads, app downloads (more than), 2020-2021. European Commission, Digital Contact Tracing Study: Portugal case, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: Portugal combined a national health authority with research and technology partners to deploy an anonymous Bluetooth exposure-notification app quickly, using voluntary adoption rather than a centralised movement database.

    Limits: Downloads do not show active use, the share of infected people entering test codes, alerts delivered or epidemiological effect. The voluntary, privacy-preserving design depended on test-result integration and public trust, and suspension after the emergency means the adoption peak was not a durable surveillance capability.

Building

How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?

-0.9 over 10 years, from 30.3 in 2016 to 29.4 on 3 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Manufacturing value added

Manufacturing value added as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
11.296% of GDP
Year
2025. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Manufacturing value added

Manufacturing value added as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (NV.IND.MANF.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

High-technology exports

High-technology exports as a share of manufactured exports.

Measured in % of manufactured exports; higher is better. Source: World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
6.773% of manufactured exports
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

High-technology exports

High-technology exports as a share of manufactured exports.

Measured in % of manufactured exports; higher is better. Source: World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS)
History

Logistics infrastructure quality

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataindex 1-5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (LP.LPI.INFR.XQ)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. An LPI sub-index, so the same freight-forwarder survey as logistics performance and the same problem. Electricity connection speed stays as the observable infrastructure measure in this dimension. See D23.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Electricity connection speed

Doing Business score for the days a business waits for a permanent electricity connection.

Measured in score 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
79.565score 0-100
Year
2019. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Electricity connection speed

Doing Business score for the days a business waits for a permanent electricity connection.

Measured in score 0-100; higher is better. Source: World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (IC.ELC.TIME.DFRN)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Economic fitness

Diversity and ubiquity-adjusted sophistication of the export basket.

Measured in index; higher is better. Source: World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
1.689index
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Economic fitness

Diversity and ubiquity-adjusted sophistication of the export basket.

Measured in index; higher is better. Source: World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (EF.EFM.UNIV.XD)
History

Large project delivery

direct capability measureno dataset exists, 2 records
Raw value
no data% overrun
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
none
History
no data

Note: The single best measure of execution capability and there is no comparable international dataset. Assembling one is a defensible Envisioning project. Building mixes industrial output with state delivery capacity, and this indicator carries the delivery side: the other six indicators cannot see a national programme that was delivered. Documented deliveries are recorded in data/evidence and never scored, see D20.

Firm scale-up rate

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of firms
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
OECD DynEmp
History
no data

Note: OECD business dynamics work covers members irregularly. Nothing comparable for India, Brazil or South Africa.

Conditions, not scored

What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.

  • Output per workerWorld Bank (SL.GDP.PCAP.EM.KD), 2025

    89,377 constant 2021 PPP $, rank 30 of 123. GDP per person employed, constant purchasing power parity.

    A condition, not scored: output per worker is income per worker, the wealth the benchmark tests capability against, so it is published beside Building as context (D122).

Evidence for missing indicators

Each record describes a case the indicators above cannot see. It does not affect the score or confidence because one case is not comparable across countries. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

  • Portugallinked to Large project deliverystarted 2021still operating

    Plano de Recuperação e Resiliência delivery governance

    Portugal's PRR barometer recorded €21.9 billion across 121 investments and 43 reforms, with €14.43 billion paid to beneficiaries by 27 August 2026.

    14,431,510,367.98 EUR paid, prr funds paid, 2026-08-27. 121 investments, investments in the plan, 2026-08-27. Portal Mais Transparência / Estrutura de Missão Recuperar Portugal, PRR barometer, retrieved 2026-08-31.

    How it worked: Portugal bound a large cross-government investment programme to a reform-and-milestone schedule, central monitoring and payment requests, while leaving implementation to ministries, public bodies, firms and local beneficiaries. The financing contract creates a common delivery clock across otherwise separate projects.

    Limits: Funds paid, investment counts and reform counts are programme inputs and milestones, not completed infrastructure, cost and schedule performance or long-run outcomes. The plan is EU-funded and centrally coordinated but executed through many ministries and beneficiaries; the barometer's aggregate totals cannot attribute results to one delivery unit or show which projects will remain useful after the funding window closes.

  • Portugallinked to Large project deliverystarted 2010dismantled

    Lisbon–Madrid high-speed rail concession, formally abandoned

    Portugal's 2011 Council of Ministers formally abandoned the previous Lisbon–Madrid high-speed rail project, replacing its passenger priority with a freight connection through Sines, Lisbon, Setúbal, Poceirão and Madrid.

    1 project, high-speed rail projects formally abandoned, 2011-11-10. Diário da República, Resolução do Conselho de Ministros n.º 45/2011, retrieved 2026-09-02.

    How it worked: Under fiscal pressure, the government stopped a politically committed passenger megaproject by resolution and redirected the corridor toward freight interoperability, changing the objective before further construction commitments accumulated.

    Limits: The number is categorical: one formally abandoned national project. The resolution records a policy reversal, not the project's final cost, the amount already spent or a completed line; the replacement freight priority and a later revival of high-speed planning mean this is evidence of stop-and-reframe capacity, not proof that Portugal solved rail delivery.

Shared Purpose

To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?

+1.5 over 10 years, from 65.4 in 2016 to 66.9 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

+7.7 over 20 years, from 59.2 in 2006 to 66.9 on 2 indicators seen in both years.

Trends use fewer indicators than the current score and use today's frame. A longer span reaches further back.

Voice and accountability

perception proxyretired, see notes
Raw value
no dataz-score -2.5 to 2.5
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
World Bank (GOV_WGI_VA.EST)
History
no data

Note: Retired 2026-08-26. Artefact A5: it measures the democratic channel while Shared Purpose asks whether people can see themselves in a common project. Singapore scored 20.9 while being one of the most effective collective actors in the set. Volunteering and civic participation are the observable replacements and are declared gaps; voter turnout is published beside Shared Purpose as a check, because it reads the same democratic channel and compulsory voting (D129). See D23 and A5.

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Tax revenue

Central government tax revenue as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
22.347% of GDP
Year
2024. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Tax revenue

Central government tax revenue as a share of GDP.

Measured in % of GDP; higher is better. Source: World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS)
History

downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Income inequality

Gini index of disposable income.

Measured in Gini 0-100; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SI.POV.GINI), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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downstream outcomeobserved
Raw value
33.9Gini 0-100
Year
2023. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
downstream outcomeMeasures a result that usually follows from the capability.

Income inequality

Gini index of disposable income.

Measured in Gini 0-100; lower is better. Source: World Bank (SI.POV.GINI), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
World Bank (SI.POV.GINI)
History

Sense of national belonging

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% expressing belonging
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Joint EVS/WVS (G006)
History
no data

Note: A declared gap again since 2026-10-02 (D151, which supersedes the retirement in D143). The project still wants to know whether people count themselves members of the community whose common project this capability asks about, so the row stays even though no series can fill it. The only cross-national item aimed at it, national pride (G006) in the Joint EVS/WVS, is not wired: pride is not belonging, and it fails the regime test of artefact A13, with electoral autocracies at 75 percent very proud against 47 in liberal democracies. ISSP 2023 asks about closeness to the country in 16 countries. Wireable on an item that reads the same in every regime class, or on a behaviour of belonging, for half the frame or more. High national pride must never be read as the capacity for collective action.

Volunteering

direct capability measureno dataset exists
Raw value
no data% of adults
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
Gallup World Poll / CAF
History
no data

Note: CAF publishes country figures but the underlying Gallup microdata is proprietary, so it fails the inspectability rule.

Political polarisation

perception proxyno dataset exists
Raw value
no dataindex 0-4
Year
no data
Normalized
no data
Source
V-Dem
History
no data

Note: V-Dem political polarization (v2cacamps) is published beside this dimension as a behavioral check and is not scored, because a regime with no organized opposition reads as calm (D121, A13). The gap stays open for a measure that can tell calm between competing camps from calm where no camp may compete. Pluralism is the target, so only hostile polarization should count against a country.

direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civic participation

Share of adults who report belonging to a humanitarian or charitable organisation.

Measured in % mentioning; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A080_01), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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direct capability measureobserved
Raw value
2.8% mentioning
Year
2022. The rail runs from 1960 to 2026.
Normalized
direct capability measureMeasures the thing itself.

Civic participation

Share of adults who report belonging to a humanitarian or charitable organisation.

Measured in % mentioning; higher is better. Source: Joint EVS/WVS (A080_01), also in the indicator registry. Each flag is a country at its normalized position from 0 to 100, where higher always means better. The bar in the list below shows the same position.

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Source
Joint EVS/WVS (A080_01)
History
one year

Behavioral check, not scored

Each number below is published beside the score and stays out of it. It is not in the frame, the average, the indicator count or the confidence.

  • Political polarizationV-Dem (v2cacamps_osp), 2025

    1.736 index 0-4, lower is better. Whether supporters of opposing political camps generally meet in a friendly or a hostile manner, rated by V-Dem country experts from 0, friendly, to 4, hostile.

    The question counts hostility and leaves disagreement alone, which is what pluralism asks for. It is not scored because a low reading has two causes the number cannot tell apart. Where camps compete openly, a calm reading means people who disagree still meet as fellow citizens. Where no opposition may organize, it means there is no camp left to be hostile to. In 2025 the five closed autocracies in the frame average 2.18 and the liberal democracies 1.67, while electoral democracies and electoral autocracies sit near 2.8 and 3.3. Scored, the reading would have lifted the United Arab Emirates about 11 points on this capability for a uniformity the benchmark does not count as shared purpose. Income is not why it is left out: richer countries read only somewhat calmer, at about -0.41 against log GDP per capita.

  • Voter turnoutV-Dem (v2eltrnout), 2025

    58.23 % of registered voters, higher is better. Share of registered voters who cast a vote in the latest national election up to 2025, according to official results, as coded by V-Dem from IDEA, IPU and IFES sources. Where executive and legislative elections fall on the same day, the executive turnout is coded.

    Turnout is the one act in which a whole population takes part in a common decision, so it is the closest behavioral reading of shared purpose the benchmark has. It is not scored for three reasons the number cannot separate. It reads the democratic channel, which is why voice and accountability was retired from this capability (A5): a country with no competitive elections cannot score well for reasons unrelated to whether its people see themselves in a common project. Compulsory voting turns it into a reading of the law: Brazil enforces it, and the eight countries that enforce sanctions average 83 percent against 65 where voting is voluntary. And closed and electoral autocracies manage it: Vietnam reads 95.6, Rwanda 98.2 and Singapore 92.8, which is mobilization, not participation (A13). The year shown is the latest national election, because elections are coded only in the year they happen.

Panel estimate, round 2, how this layer works

  • 52.0 institutionalist@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.45

    I hold 52. Panelist C's reading that the civic participation item reflects how membership is asked is plausible but unproven, and the national health service consensus and the vaccination task force are institutional collective capacity; the rise of Chega and three elections in three years temper the score.

  • 55.0 bottom_up@claude-opus-5-5, self-confidence 0.45

    I hold near my round 1 score: C's point that the 2.8 percent civic item reflects how membership is asked supports reading past it, and parish-level solidarity and the vaccination consensus show collective capacity; Chega's rise and three elections in three years cost a point.

  • 52.0 wealth_sceptic@claude-sonnet-5-5, self-confidence 0.35

    Civic participation is the frame's lowest, likely partly an artefact of how membership is asked. A stable settlement, health-service consensus and the vaccination effort show collective capacity, while Chega's rise shows fracture, so I hold at 52.