Where does Bosnia and Herzegovina stand on Anticipation?
This page reads one capability from the published data and is recomputed with every release. It separates what Bosnia and Herzegovina does, which makes the score, from what the country has, which sits beside the score, and places the country among the 10 countries at the nearest income. The text describes the data and recommends no policy.
What does the score rest on?
The Anticipation score is the equal-weight mean of the positions of two indicators on a 0 to 100 scale that every country sets together. Confidence measures the evidence behind the score and sits beside it as a second number.
The Anticipation score tracks GDP per capita at r = 0.86 across 123 countries.
Observed indicators
- Position on the scale13.2Peer median7.810 peers with a value
Scientific articles
1,083 articles per million people
World Bank (IP.JRN.ARTC.SC), 2023
- Position on the scale53.8Peer median79.710 peers with a value
Statistical performance
68.6 index 0-100
World Bank (IQ.SPI.OVRL), 2024
No comparable source yet, so lowering confidence: government foresight capacity and long-horizon research commitments.
What Bosnia and Herzegovina has to work with
Beside each condition, two r values read every country at once, one against income and one against the capability score. Where the r with income is much higher than the r with the score, having the condition goes with being rich more than with the capability measured.
Conditions, not scored
What the country has to work with on this capability. The values are shown as the source published them and are not part of the score, the confidence or the trend. The rank counts the countries with a value, best first.
R&D expenditureWorld Bank (GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS), 2024
0.21 % of GDP, rank 86 of 118. Gross domestic expenditure on research and development as a share of GDP.
A condition, not scored: money committed to research is what a country spends, and spending it does not show the country reads the future well (D122).
- r with income: 0.62 (116 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.73 (117 countries)
- Peer median: 0.29 % of GDP (9 peers with a value)
Researchers in R&DWorld Bank (SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6), 2024
705 per million people, rank 59 of 114. Full-time-equivalent researchers per million people.
A condition, not scored: a standing stock of people who could investigate is what a country has, not a record of what they found (D122). Correlates with income but survives size normalization.
- r with income: 0.74 (112 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.87 (113 countries)
- Peer median: 896 per million people (10 peers with a value)
Secure internet serversWorld Bank (IT.NET.SECR.P6), 2024
5,554 per million people, rank 50 of 125. Servers using encryption in internet transactions, per million people.
A condition, not scored: a diffusion stock of digital adoption that money buys, not an act of anticipation (D122). Spans four orders of magnitude, so its rank is read on the published value and its correlations on the logged one.
- r with income: 0.91 (123 countries)
- r with the Anticipation score: 0.89 (124 countries)
- Peer median: 1,463 per million people (10 peers with a value)
Where does Bosnia and Herzegovina sit among its peers?
The peers are the 10 countries at the nearest income. Income is GDP per capita at purchasing power parity, in constant international dollars, for the latest year the World Bank publishes, and distance is measured on a log scale, where half and double are equally far. No country is picked by hand, and the set changes when the data does.
In this release peer income runs from US$ 18,779 to US$ 25,095, and Bosnia and Herzegovina has US$ 21,178 (2025).
- Solid ring: usable or good evidence
- Broken ring: thin evidence, opening further as confidence falls
- The shaded band is the middle half of the set and the line inside it is the median.
- Mexico: 49.9
- North Macedonia: 49.0
- Thailand: 46.2
- Brazil: 44.6
- Armenia: 44.2
- Colombia: 43.6
- Albania: 43.1
- Bosnia and Herzegovina: 33.5
- Dominican Republic: 33.1
- Azerbaijan: 30.6
- China: 30.1
- ArmeniaUS$ 21,153, 202544.2
- MexicoUS$ 21,912, 202549.9
- AzerbaijanUS$ 22,314, 202530.6
- BrazilUS$ 20,025, 202544.6
- ThailandUS$ 22,432, 202546.2
- AlbaniaUS$ 22,724, 202543.1
- ColombiaUS$ 18,779, 202543.6
- Dominican RepublicUS$ 24,543, 202533.1
- ChinaUS$ 25,067, 202530.1
- North MacedoniaUS$ 25,095, 202549.0
What separates Bosnia and Herzegovina from its peers?
Bosnia and Herzegovina scores 33.5 on Anticipation, below the median of the 10 scored peers, which is 43.9.
Indicators placed above the peer median on the scale: scientific articles.
Indicators placed below the peer median on the scale: statistical performance.
Bosnia and Herzegovina has more than the peer median of secure internet servers.
Bosnia and Herzegovina has less than the peer median of r&D expenditure and researchers in R&D.
Each sentence compares one position with one median. Why a difference exists, and what to do about it, lie outside this data.
What this reading does not show
- A national score is a coarse proxy. A capability forms in firms, cities, networks and groups below the level of the country, and a national average only describes the conditions they work in.
- Peers share income and nothing else. Size, production structure, region and political regime are outside the rule, and a set of 10 countries can change with any revision to GDP.
- An r reads the whole set at once and says nothing about one country alone. A correlation does not show a cause either.
- And the ones every score in the benchmark carries: artefact A8, artefact A10.