Capability agenda

Mexico

Generated 2026-10-03

The frame includes 125 countries. Each dimension is scored from 0 to 100, with no overall ranking, and each score shows its confidence beside it. Read the known limits of the data before you quote a score.

Open the profile: indicators, values, years and sources

Where Mexico stands

Dimension	Score	Confidence	Trend
Anticipation	49.9	0.46	+10.7 over 10 years using 2 indicators
Agency	64.3	0.56	no trend
Coordination	74.3	0.37	no trend
Trust	41.2	0.49	no trend
Learning	42.5	0.54	no trend
Experimentation	25.2	0.53	+0.4 over 10 years using 3 indicators
Adaptability	65.4	0.46	no trend
Building	54.9	0.57	+2.5 over 10 years using 3 indicators
Shared Purpose	45.2	0.43	+8.6 over 10 years using 2 indicators

Score

weakNear the floor of the frame. Check the confidence before reading anything into it.0 to 25
below middleIn the lower half of the frame.25 to 50
above middleIn the upper half of the frame.50 to 75
strongNear the top of the frame on this dimension.75 and above

Confidence

very thin0.00 to 0.25
The score rests on one or two indicators. Do not quote it on its own.
thin0.25 to 0.45
A minority of indicators, or evidence old enough to have moved. Read with care.
usable0.45 to 0.65
Enough evidence to compare countries, with known holes.
good0.65 and above
Most indicators observed, recent, from official or intergovernmental sources.

Capability over time

Select a dimension to see how Mexico’s comparable evidence has moved over time. The vertical scale is the current comparison frame, from 0 to 100.

Dimension

Period

Capability position in the current frame0 to 100

Shared Purpose 1996 → 2026: 21.1 to 43.8 (+22.7) over 30 years using 2 indicators

Historical values use today’s frame from 0 to 100 and a matched basket of indicators. They show movement in the available evidence, not an overall development score. Dated agenda items appear on a separate timeline and do not change the score. A missing line means the evidence does not support a comparable trend for that dimension.

What to raise

These are the lowest scores with usable evidence. Thin evidence appears below.

Experimentation

25.20.53

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

Uses 6 observed indicators. +0.4 over 10 years using 3 indicators.

Highest usable scores: South Korea 72.6, Switzerland 68.6, United States 50.6.

Related deliveries in other countries: The FCA regulatory sandbox (United Kingdom); Yozma, the venture capital catalyst (Israel); Korean regulatory-sandbox system across eight sectors (South Korea); MAS FinTech Regulatory Sandbox variants (Singapore); British Patient Capital, a public venture-capital catalyst (United Kingdom); ICURe, from university research to spinouts (United Kingdom); Portugal Ventures, a public venture-capital bridge (Portugal); Rede Nacional de Test Beds for company experimentation (Portugal); Zonas Livres Tecnológicas, regulator-supervised experimentation zones (Portugal); Banco Central regulatory sandbox, first cycle (Brazil); Reserve Bank of India regulatory sandbox (India); Capital Markets Authority regulatory sandbox (Kenya); SEC Nigeria Regulatory Incubation Program (Nigeria); ADGM RegLab, the first fintech sandbox in the region (United Arab Emirates); OJK regulatory sandbox for financial-sector technological innovation (Indonesia); Bank Negara Malaysia Fintech Regulatory Sandbox (Malaysia); Bank of Thailand regulatory sandbox (Thailand); Sandbox financiero (Ley 7/2020), and the fall in applications (Spain); IFWG Regulatory Sandbox (South Africa); Project-based regulatory sandbox (new technology demonstration scheme) (Japan); CFPB Compliance Assistance Sandbox, rescinded in 2022 and withdrawn again in 2025 (United States); CSA Regulatory Sandbox, succeeded by the Financial Innovation Hub (Canada); ASIC enhanced regulatory sandbox (Australia); SINTEG-Verordnung, the energy-transition experimentation clause (Germany); Experimenten Elektriciteitswet 2015-2018, and its erosion (Netherlands); Bac à sable réglementaire in the energy sector (France); Italy's FinTech regulatory sandbox, and its contraction (Italy); Bank of Ghana Regulatory Sandbox (Ghana); AFSA FinTech Lab at the Astana International Financial Centre (Kazakhstan); Banque Centrale de Tunisie regulatory sandbox, first cohort (Tunisia); Sandbox Regulatório do Banco de Moçambique (Mozambique); Regulatory Sandbox Licence of the Economic Development Board (Mauritius); Bank of Uganda regulatory sandbox (Uganda); Regulatory Sandbox Framework for Capital Markets, first cohort (Zambia); Securities and Exchange Commission of Zimbabwe regulatory sandbox (Zimbabwe); FMA Regulatory Sandbox (Austria); Regulatorisk sandkasse for AI (Datatilsynet and Digitaliseringsstyrelsen) (Denmark); Datatilsynet's regulatory sandbox for privacy-friendly innovation (Norway); Bank of Lithuania regulatory sandbox, with one test in seven years (Lithuania); Narodna banka Slovenska regulatory sandbox (Slovakia); Sandbox for AI and blockchain products, Ministry of Digital Transformation and Ukrainian Startup Fund (Ukraine); Bank of Russia regulatory sandbox (regulativnaya pesochnitsa) (Russia); JoRegBox, the Central Bank of Jordan regulatory sandbox (Jordan); Special regulatory regimes (spetsialnye regulyativnye rezhimy) of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (Kyrgyzstan); SECP Regulatory Sandbox, four cohorts and an open window (Pakistan); Bank of Jamaica FinTech Regulatory Sandbox (Jamaica); Financial Regulatory Commission sandbox regulatory environment (Mongolia); NAMFISA Regulatory Sandbox, microlending cohort (Namibia); Central Bank of Azerbaijan regulatory sandbox (Azerbaijan).

Missing indicators: Venture deals, Firms through regulatory sandboxes, University spinouts.

Rejected datasets: Business share of R&D.

Trust

41.20.49

How much cooperation is possible beyond immediate personal networks?

Uses 5 observed indicators. no trend.

Highest usable scores: Denmark 94.1, Norway 91.3, Finland 89.7.

Related deliveries in other countries: Cadastro Único, the unified social registry (Brazil); Portal da Transparência, the federal open-books system (Brazil); MyData, citizen-directed data portability (South Korea); Singapore Courts' case-clearance discipline (Singapore); Civil-court clearance and the CEPEJ monitoring series (Portugal).

Missing indicators: Trust in public institutions, Court case clearance rate.

Rejected datasets: Rule of law, Control of corruption, Intentional homicide rate.

Learning

42.50.54

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

Uses 3 observed indicators. no trend.

Highest usable scores: Singapore 84.2, Norway 83.4, New Zealand 83.

Missing indicators: Adult learning participation.

Anticipation

49.90.46

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

Uses 2 observed indicators. +10.7 over 10 years using 2 indicators.

Highest usable scores: Denmark 98.1, Norway 97.2, Switzerland 93.4.

Related deliveries in other countries: Embrapa, a fifty-year bet on tropical agriculture (Brazil); The Delta Programme and its fund (Netherlands); Lei de Informática, a sectoral industrial policy (Brazil); CGEE, the strategic studies center (Brazil); Centre for Strategic Futures, foresight inside government (Singapore); Legally binding carbon budgets (United Kingdom); Fukushima decommissioning roadmap, a 30–40-year risk-reduction horizon (Japan); National basic-research funding allocation (China); PLANAPP and REPLAN, a centre-of-government foresight network (Portugal); Labour Market Intelligence Programme and forward skills planning (South Africa); Government Report on the Future and the parliamentary Committee for the Future (Finland); Foresight Centre at the Riigikogu (Arenguseire Keskus) (Estonia); Office of Technology Assessment, defunded and closed in 1995 (United States); Rządowe Centrum Studiów Strategicznych, liquidated in 2006 (Poland); Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag (TAB) (Germany); National Assembly Futures Institute (South Korea); Federal Chancellery situation and environment analysis (Perspektivstab) (Switzerland); Senate foresight delegation (Délégation sénatoriale à la prospective) (France); Senate Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation (Chile); Policy Horizons Canada, the federal foresight unit, and its 2024 disruption scan (Canada); Framtidskommissionen, the Prime Minister's time-limited future commission (Sweden); National Planning Commission foresight work for Malawi 2063 (Malawi); Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratégique and the national prospective studies (Côte d'Ivoire); Teknologiraadet, the Norwegian Board of Technology (Norway); Teknologiraadet, the Danish Board of Technology, abolished in 2012 (Denmark); Bureau federal du Plan (Belgium); Special Secretariat of Foresight (now of Long-term Planning) (Greece); STRATA foresight for the Lietuva 2050 state progress strategy (Lithuania); Institut Royal des Etudes Stratégiques (IRES) (Morocco); Long-term Insights Briefings under the Public Service Act 2020 (New Zealand).

Missing indicators: Government foresight capacity, Long-horizon research commitments.

What to measure first

The evidence is too thin to manage these dimensions confidently.

Coordination

0.37

How effectively can independent actors organize around shared objectives?

Uses 3 observed indicators.

Missing indicators: University-industry collaboration, Public-private collaboration.

Rejected datasets: Government effectiveness, Regulatory quality, Logistics performance.

Shared Purpose

0.43

To what extent can people imagine themselves as participants in a common project?

Uses 3 observed indicators.

Missing indicators: Sense of national belonging, Volunteering, Political polarisation.

Rejected datasets: Voice and accountability.

What to keep watching

These dimensions score at least 50 with usable evidence.

Dimension	Score	Confidence
Adaptability	65.4	0.46
Agency	64.3	0.56
Building	54.9	0.57

Missing data

18 requested indicators have no comparable dataset, and each one lowers confidence. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

Dimension	Missing indicator	What it asks
Anticipation	Government foresight capacity	Existence, mandate and continuity of a national strategic foresight function.
Anticipation	Long-horizon research commitments	New competitively awarded public research grants that run for five years or longer, as a share of all new competitive public research grants awarded in the year.
Agency	Adults doing digital tasks	Share of adults who carried out a named digital task in the last three months, such as sending a message with an attached file, moving a file between devices or using a spreadsheet formula, counted one task at a time and never as a skill level.
Coordination	University-industry collaboration	Intensity of research collaboration between universities and firms.
Coordination	Public-private collaboration	Frequency and scale of joint public-private delivery of national objectives.
Trust	Trust in public institutions	Confidence in national government, courts and civil service.
Trust	Court case clearance rate	Civil and commercial cases resolved in a year as a share of cases filed in the same year.
Learning	Adult learning participation	Share of adults in formal or non-formal education and training in the last 12 months.
Experimentation	Venture deals	First venture capital rounds closed by companies based in the country in the year, per million people, counted by deal and never by amount.
Experimentation	Firms through regulatory sandboxes	Firms admitted to, and firms completing, a regulatory sandbox or controlled trial regime in the year, per million people, summed across every regulator in the country.
Experimentation	University spinouts	Companies formed to commercialise university research, per million people.
Adaptability	Disaster preparedness and recovery	Demonstrated capacity to prepare for and recover from major shocks.
Adaptability	Institutional responsiveness	Speed at which rules and public programmes are changed in response to new conditions.
Building	Large project delivery	Cost and schedule performance of major public infrastructure projects.
Building	Firm scale-up rate	Share of young firms reaching significant employment or turnover thresholds.
Shared Purpose	Sense of national belonging	Reported identification with and attachment to the national community, as distinct from pride in the nation.
Shared Purpose	Volunteering	Share of adults who volunteered time to an organisation in the last month.
Shared Purpose	Political polarisation	Degree to which political differences run along a single hostile divide.

What the indicators miss about Mexico

Documented deliveries linked to missing indicators. They do not affect scores or confidence.

Seguro Popular, and its abolition (Building)
Mexico built public health insurance for people outside social security from 2003 and abolished it in 2020, and CONEVAL measured the share of the population without access to health services rising from 16.2 percent in 2018 to 39.1 percent in 2022.
Puntos México Conectado, national digital learning centres (Agency)
Mexico's communications ministry operated Puntos México Conectado centres in all 32 states, reporting more than 410,000 enrolled members and over 260,000 course enrolments by June 2017.
Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro, government-workplace training (Coordination)
Mexico's labour ministry linked young people to more than half a million registered workplaces for on-the-job training, reporting 2.95 million beneficiaries nationwide after five years of Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro in February 2024.
COFEPRIS digital regulatory procedures (Adaptability)
Mexico's medicines and health-products regulator COFEPRIS completed 509,921 procedures entirely online with traceability by 5 September 2024, replacing paper hand-offs for a large share of its regulated users.
CFE Telecomunicaciones e Internet para Todos (Building)
Mexico's state telecom operator CFE Telecomunicaciones e Internet para Todos installed 113,683 free public internet sites by September 2024, reaching 81.2 percent of its stated 140,000-site 2025 goal.
Simulacro Nacional 2024, a nationwide emergency exercise (Adaptability)
Mexico's national civil-protection system coordinated a countrywide earthquake exercise in September 2024 in which 9,727,000 people participated, with alerts carried over 14,490 public loudspeakers and a multi-agency task force of 1.9 million personnel.
PROSPERA, and its replacement by a new scholarship authority (Adaptability)
Mexico abolished the 2014 decree creating PROSPERA on 31 May 2019 and ordered its people, assets and budget to transfer to the new Benito Juárez scholarship coordination within 90 days.
New International Airport of Mexico, and its cancellation (Building)
Mexico cancelled the partially built Texcoco airport after construction and contracts had begun; the government's 2019 cancellation paper estimated a 100 billion peso cancellation cost, including 60 billion pesos already spent and 40 billion in non-recoverable commitments.
FONDEN, the natural disaster fund, and its abolition (Adaptability)
Mexico's federal government ran FONDEN from 1999 as a pre-arranged national fund for post-disaster reconstruction, allocating a record US$833 million to it in 2011 and insuring it with catastrophe bonds, and abrogated the FONDEN trust by the decree of 6 November 2020, moving disaster spending onto ordinary budget lines.
Olmeca refinery at Dos Bocas (Building)
Pemex built the Olmeca refinery at Dos Bocas, authorized in December 2018 and fully operational from February 2025, under an authorized budget of US$15,963.0 million, 79 percent above the US$8,918.5 million Class IV estimate stated when its board authorized the FEL II phase in July 2020.
INEA adult basic education (Learning)
Mexico's Instituto Nacional para la Educación de los Adultos certified 651,473 young people and adults as having completed a level of literacy, primary or secondary education in 2024, with 352,600 learners in its services at the close of the year.

Contribute

Fill a gap, file evidence or challenge an indicator at github.com/envisioning/national-capability-benchmark. The docs explain the method and decisions.

🇲🇽Mexico