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Capability agenda

Brazil

Generated 2026-10-03

The frame includes 125 countries. Each dimension is scored from 0 to 100, with no overall ranking, and each score shows its confidence beside it. Read the known limits of the data before you quote a score.

Open the profile: indicators, values, years and sources

Where Brazil stands

DimensionScoreConfidenceTrend
Anticipation44.60.46+7.6 over 10 years using 2 indicators
Agency58.00.56no trend
Coordination89.10.37no trend
Trust53.40.50no trend
Learning36.60.55no trend
Experimentation28.50.53+5.1 over 10 years using 3 indicators
Adaptability64.50.62no trend
Building37.70.57-2.4 over 10 years using 3 indicators
Shared Purpose30.60.43+6.8 over 10 years using 2 indicators

Score

  • weakNear the floor of the frame. Check the confidence before reading anything into it.0 to 25
  • below middleIn the lower half of the frame.25 to 50
  • above middleIn the upper half of the frame.50 to 75
  • strongNear the top of the frame on this dimension.75 and above

Confidence

  • very thin0.00 to 0.25

    The score rests on one or two indicators. Do not quote it on its own.

  • thin0.25 to 0.45

    A minority of indicators, or evidence old enough to have moved. Read with care.

  • usable0.45 to 0.65

    Enough evidence to compare countries, with known holes.

  • good0.65 and above

    Most indicators observed, recent, from official or intergovernmental sources.

Capability over time

Select a dimension to see how Brazilโ€™s comparable evidence has moved over time. The vertical scale is the current comparison frame, from 0 to 100.

Dimension

Period

Capability position in the current frame0 to 100
025507510020062011201620212026

Experimentation 2006 โ†’ 2026: 9.1 to 16.2 (+7.1) over 20 years using 3 indicators

Agenda items on this timeline

19601970198019902000201020202026
  • 2021Banco Central regulatory sandbox, first cycle

Historical values use todayโ€™s frame from 0 to 100 and a matched basket of indicators. They show movement in the available evidence, not an overall development score. Dated agenda items appear on a separate timeline and do not change the score. A missing line means the evidence does not support a comparable trend for that dimension.

What to raise

These are the lowest scores with usable evidence. Thin evidence appears below.

How easily can new approaches be attempted, tested, abandoned, and improved?

Uses 6 observed indicators. +5.1 over 10 years using 3 indicators.

Highest usable scores: South Korea 72.6, Switzerland 68.6, United States 50.6.

Related deliveries in other countries: The FCA regulatory sandbox (United Kingdom); Yozma, the venture capital catalyst (Israel); Korean regulatory-sandbox system across eight sectors (South Korea); MAS FinTech Regulatory Sandbox variants (Singapore); British Patient Capital, a public venture-capital catalyst (United Kingdom); ICURe, from university research to spinouts (United Kingdom); Portugal Ventures, a public venture-capital bridge (Portugal); Rede Nacional de Test Beds for company experimentation (Portugal); Zonas Livres Tecnolรณgicas, regulator-supervised experimentation zones (Portugal); Reserve Bank of India regulatory sandbox (India); Capital Markets Authority regulatory sandbox (Kenya); SEC Nigeria Regulatory Incubation Program (Nigeria); ADGM RegLab, the first fintech sandbox in the region (United Arab Emirates); OJK regulatory sandbox for financial-sector technological innovation (Indonesia); Bank Negara Malaysia Fintech Regulatory Sandbox (Malaysia); Bank of Thailand regulatory sandbox (Thailand); Sandbox financiero (Ley 7/2020), and the fall in applications (Spain); IFWG Regulatory Sandbox (South Africa); Project-based regulatory sandbox (new technology demonstration scheme) (Japan); CFPB Compliance Assistance Sandbox, rescinded in 2022 and withdrawn again in 2025 (United States); CSA Regulatory Sandbox, succeeded by the Financial Innovation Hub (Canada); ASIC enhanced regulatory sandbox (Australia); SINTEG-Verordnung, the energy-transition experimentation clause (Germany); Experimenten Elektriciteitswet 2015-2018, and its erosion (Netherlands); Bac ร  sable rรฉglementaire in the energy sector (France); Italy's FinTech regulatory sandbox, and its contraction (Italy); Bank of Ghana Regulatory Sandbox (Ghana); AFSA FinTech Lab at the Astana International Financial Centre (Kazakhstan); Banque Centrale de Tunisie regulatory sandbox, first cohort (Tunisia); Sandbox Regulatรณrio do Banco de Moรงambique (Mozambique); Regulatory Sandbox Licence of the Economic Development Board (Mauritius); Bank of Uganda regulatory sandbox (Uganda); Regulatory Sandbox Framework for Capital Markets, first cohort (Zambia); Securities and Exchange Commission of Zimbabwe regulatory sandbox (Zimbabwe); FMA Regulatory Sandbox (Austria); Regulatorisk sandkasse for AI (Datatilsynet and Digitaliseringsstyrelsen) (Denmark); Datatilsynet's regulatory sandbox for privacy-friendly innovation (Norway); Bank of Lithuania regulatory sandbox, with one test in seven years (Lithuania); Narodna banka Slovenska regulatory sandbox (Slovakia); Sandbox for AI and blockchain products, Ministry of Digital Transformation and Ukrainian Startup Fund (Ukraine); Bank of Russia regulatory sandbox (regulativnaya pesochnitsa) (Russia); JoRegBox, the Central Bank of Jordan regulatory sandbox (Jordan); Special regulatory regimes (spetsialnye regulyativnye rezhimy) of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (Kyrgyzstan); SECP Regulatory Sandbox, four cohorts and an open window (Pakistan); Bank of Jamaica FinTech Regulatory Sandbox (Jamaica); Financial Regulatory Commission sandbox regulatory environment (Mongolia); NAMFISA Regulatory Sandbox, microlending cohort (Namibia); Central Bank of Azerbaijan regulatory sandbox (Azerbaijan).

Missing indicators: Venture deals, Firms through regulatory sandboxes, University spinouts.

Rejected datasets: Business share of R&D.

Learning

36.60.55

How effectively does the country acquire, distribute, and update knowledge?

Uses 3 observed indicators. no trend.

Highest usable scores: Singapore 84.2, Norway 83.4, New Zealand 83.

Related deliveries in other countries: SkillsFuture Credit (Singapore); The public library system (Finland); Kartu Prakerja, a national lifelong-learning delivery system (Indonesia); Compte personnel de formation (France); Programa Qualifica and Portugal's adult-learning network (Portugal); Novas Oportunidades, and the qualification-policy interruption (Portugal); SWAYAM national online-course platform (India); SETAs and workplace-based learning delivery (South Africa); MEB public lifelong-learning network (Turkey); Kenya's adult education centres, and their halving (Kenya); Rwanda's adult literacy centres, and their decline (Rwanda); Integrated Functional Adult Education, and its erosion (Ethiopia); Instituto Tรฉcnico de Capacitaciรณn y Productividad (INTECAP) (Guatemala); INFOTEP national technical and vocational training (Dominican Republic); Campaรฑa Nacional de Alfabetizaciรณn (Cuba); VET FEE-HELP, and its abolition (Australia); Adult education allowance (aikuiskoulutustuki), and its abolition (Finland); INEFOP, the tripartite national training institute (Uruguay); Franquicia Tributaria SENCE, and its erosion (Chile); Employer and in-work training under Employment Insurance, and its erosion (South Korea); TESDA technical-vocational training at national scale (Philippines); INADEH national vocational training (Panama); Yo, sรญ puedo national literacy campaign and post-literacy programme (Bolivia); Project 1956 vocational training for rural workers (Vietnam); Bildungsprรคmie training voucher, and its end (Germany); Aufstiegs-BAfรถG, upgrading training support (Germany); Formaciรณn programada por las empresas (FUNDAE training credit) (Spain); Community Education and Training colleges, and their erosion (South Africa); SENA complementary training (formaciรณn complementaria) (Colombia); Vocational skills upgrading action, 2019-2021 (China); INA national vocational training, and its contraction (Costa Rica); Kunskapslyftet adult education initiative (Sweden); Springboard+ upskilling programme (Ireland); State-administered adult education under the Adult Education and Family Literacy Act, and its erosion (United States); STAP-budget training grant, abolished in 2024 (Netherlands); INEA adult basic education (Mexico); Hello Training, public vocational training (Japan); Government-funded adult further education in England, and its erosion (United Kingdom); Educaciรณn Bรกsica Alternativa (EBA), and its erosion (Peru); Upper secondary education for adults in non-stationary study (Estonia); Department of Skill Development skill-upgrading training (Thailand); Adult literacy education under the National Commission for Mass Literacy, Adult and Non-Formal Education (Nigeria); Skills Development under the Labour Market Development Agreements, and its 2024-25 funding cut (Canada); Instituto Nacional de Formaciรณn Profesional (INFOP) (Honduras); Ministry of Labour Vocational Training Division adult courses (Israel); Educaciรณn Permanente para personas jรณvenes y adultas (MEC) (Paraguay); National literacy campaigns, 2010-2015 (Haiti); County and city general secondary schools for adults (licea ogรณlnoksztaล‚cฤ…ce dla dorosล‚ych) (Poland); Kolej Komuniti part-time and lifelong-learning (Pembelajaran Sepanjang Hayat) courses (Malaysia); Fondo nuove competenze (Italy); National adult literacy projects of the Bureau of Non-Formal Education, and their erosion (Bangladesh); Functional Adult Literacy programme, and its decline (Uganda); Integrated Community-Based Adult Education (MEMKWA), and its decline (Tanzania); National Functional Literacy Programme, and its erosion (Ghana); Centres d'alphabรฉtisation, and their erosion (Cรดte d'Ivoire); Adult literacy centres financed through FONAENF, and their erosion (Burkina Faso); National Adult Literacy Programme (Malawi); Mauritius Institute of Training and Development part-time training (Mauritius); NAMCOL secondary education programme for out-of-school learners (Namibia); Alfabetizaรงรฃo e Educaรงรฃo de Adultos (public adult literacy and adult primary education), and its decline (Mozambique); Sistema Nacional de Formaรงรฃo Profissional under INEFOP (Angola); Institut National de Prรฉparation Professionnelle (INPP) (Democratic Republic of the Congo); AMS training measures (Schulungen) for jobseekers (Austria); Human Resource Development Authority (HRDA) subsidised training programmes (Cyprus); Arbejdsmarkedsuddannelser (AMU), adult vocational training courses, and their decline (Denmark); Vauฤeri za obrazovanje, training vouchers of the Croatian Employment Service (Croatia); Mฤcฤซbas pieauguลกajiem, the ESF training programme for employed adults 2017 to 2023 (Latvia); Grunnskoleopplรฆring for voksne, municipal primary and lower secondary education for adults (Norway); Zruฤnosti pre trh prรกce, retraining and training contributions of the labour offices (Slovakia); Upper secondary education for adults (srednjeลกolsko izobraลพevanje odraslih) (Slovenia); Public vocational training centres of the National Agency for Employment and Skills (Albania); Employment Agency adult training, including the DI-GI digital skills vouchers (Bulgaria); ANOFM voucher-based vocational training for the unemployed (Moldova); ANOFM national vocational training plan, and its fall after 2023 (Romania); National Employment Service labour market training, and its 2025 non-delivery (Serbia); Programme national d'enseignement des adultes (national adult education programme) (Tunisia); Agence Nationale de Lutte contre l'Analphabetisme literacy and post-literacy programmes (Morocco); Federal project Sodeystvie zanyatosti (Employment Promotion) vocational training of adults (Russia); Short-term vocational training of the unemployed in monocentres and district vocational training centres (Uzbekistan); Self-Employment Program business training (Azerbaijan); HEART/NSTA Trust training enrolment (Jamaica); Enhanced Vocational Education and Training (EVENT II) short-term training (Nepal); Adult and community education at tertiary providers, and its halving (New Zealand); NCHD Adult Literacy Programme, and its collapse after 2013 (Pakistan); Youth Training and Employment Partnership Programme (YTEPP), and its shrinking enrolment (Trinidad and Tobago); Bildungskarenz with Weiterbildungsgeld, and its abolition (Austria).

Missing indicators: Adult learning participation.

Building

37.70.57

How capable is the country of turning plans and knowledge into functioning systems?

Uses 4 observed indicators. -2.4 over 10 years using 3 indicators.

Highest usable scores: South Korea 85.1, Ireland 80.3, China 77.4.

Related deliveries in other countries: X-Road national data exchange layer (Estonia); Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana bank accounts (India); Electricity supply rebuilt on renewable sources (Uruguay); Plan Ceibal, one connected laptop per child (Uruguay); Seguro Popular, and its abolition (Mexico); Sure Start children's centres, and their erosion (United Kingdom); Grid power, and load shedding (South Africa); Measles elimination, and its erosion (United States); Housing and Development Board, public housing at scale (Singapore); AFE passenger rail and network contraction (Uruguay); Flamanville 3 EPR, and the erosion of nuclear new-build delivery (France); Phoenix pay system, and its prolonged failure (Canada); Groningen gas system, and its closure after induced earthquakes (Netherlands); DigiD, a shared digital identity rail for public services (Netherlands); Delta Works, a 43-year national flood-defence programme (Netherlands); Betuweroute, a freight railway that missed its operating promise (Netherlands); MijnOverheid, a shared citizen mailbox and data portal (Netherlands); Fyra V250, a high-speed service withdrawn after a failed launch (Netherlands); OVpay, nationwide contactless transit payments (Netherlands); Omgevingswet and the Digital Environment System (Netherlands); Transantiago, an integrated transport reform with rising subsidy dependence (Chile); 4G road concessions, a national infrastructure portfolio (Colombia); Reficar, a refinery modernization with a fiscal-liability finding (Colombia); GIGA School, one learning device per student (Japan); Monju, a fast-breeder programme ended before commercial operation (Japan); Invierte.pe, a national multi-year investment-management system (Peru); Reconstrucciรณn con Cambios, a delayed recovery portfolio (Peru); ICE and a mostly renewable national electricity system (Costa Rica); CCSS universal health-insurance reach (Costa Rica); Metro de Quito, a cross-administration urban rail delivery (Ecuador); Panama Canal expansion and self-financing operations (Panama); Metro de Panamรก network operations (Panama); Mi Telefรฉrico urban cable-car network (Bolivia); Industrial lithium carbonate plant below design capacity (Bolivia); Itaipรบ binational hydropower operations (Paraguay); Metrobรบs, an unfinished bus rapid transit project (Paraguay); ARSAT-3 satellite programme suspended before launch (Argentina); DPWH national infrastructure delivery and transparency portal (Philippines); Bataan Nuclear Power Plant, a mothballed megaproject (Philippines); Trans-Sumatra toll-road programme, still short of its planned network (Indonesia); National expressway build-out in 2024 (Vietnam); Cat Linhโ€“Ha Dong metro, a delayed and over-budget delivery (Vietnam); MRT Putrajaya Line (Malaysia); Kuala Lumpurโ€“Singapore high-speed rail, terminated before construction (Malaysia); Hopewell elevated road-and-rail concession, and its termination (Thailand); AVE high-speed rail network (Spain); Castor underground gas storage, and its closure (Spain); Ostroล‚ฤ™ka C coal block, and its abandonment (Poland); Nya Karolinska Solna publicโ€“private hospital project (Sweden); Barsebรคck nuclear plant closure and decommissioning (Sweden); New Children's Hospital cost escalation (Ireland); Rural electrification and near-universal grid coverage (Nicaragua); Gran Misiรณn Vivienda Venezuela's five-million-home milestone (Venezuela); Plano de Recuperaรงรฃo e Resiliรชncia delivery governance (Portugal); Lisbonโ€“Madrid high-speed rail concession, formally abandoned (Portugal); Delhi Commonwealth Games, and the cost-estimate escalation (India); MeerKAT radio telescope, a delivered national research facility (South Africa); CFE Telecomunicaciones e Internet para Todos (Mexico); New International Airport of Mexico, and its cancellation (Mexico); Marmaray, the Bosphorus rail crossing (Turkey); FATฤฐH education technology infrastructure (Turkey); YEKA RES-1 renewable tender, and its cancellation (Turkey); Gotthard Base Tunnel (Switzerland); Standard Gauge Railway, Mombasa to Naivasha (Kenya); Canadian long-gun registry, its information system overrun and its dismantling (Canada); Tel Aviv light rail Red Line (Israel); National high-speed rail network (China); Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant (United Arab Emirates); Aeropuerto Internacional de Palmerola (Honduras); El Chaparral (3 de Febrero) hydroelectric plant (El Salvador); Programa Ampliado de Inmunizaciones, and its erosion (Venezuela); PetroCaribe-financed public investment programme, and its audited failure (Haiti); Interstate Highway System (United States); Programa Nacional de la Vivienda, and its collapse (Cuba); Punta Catalina thermoelectric plant, and its cost overrun (Dominican Republic); Grand Paris Express (France); Modjo-Hawassa expressway, World Bank-financed Lot 3 (Ethiopia); Lรญnea Rivera rail rehabilitation, and its decay (Uruguay); Gyeongbu high-speed railway (KTX), and its cost and schedule overrun (South Korea); Gasoducto Sur Peruano, a terminated pipeline concession (Peru); Talara refinery modernisation, delivered late and over cost (Peru); Program 35.000 MW power generation programme, and its schedule slip (Indonesia); El Mutรบn steel complex, inaugurated in 2025 and found never to have operated (Bolivia); Quang Trach to Pho Noi 500kV circuit-3 transmission line (Vietnam); Coca Codo Sinclair hydroelectric plant (Ecuador); Puente Hรฉroes del Chaco, Asunciรณn to Chaco'i bridge (Paraguay); Floating LNG import terminals of 2022 (Germany); Atucha II nuclear plant, and its 33-year build (Argentina); Vistula Spit shipping canal (Przekop Mierzei Wiล›lanej) (Poland); Israel Railways electrification and the Jerusalem express line, and their delays (Israel); Samuel De Champlain Bridge corridor (Canada); Hokuriku Shinkansen Kanazawa to Tsuruga extension, and its overrun (Japan); Botniabanan coastal railway (Sweden); High Speed Two, and the cancellation of Phase 2 (United Kingdom); Crossrail, the Elizabeth line (United Kingdom); Dedicated Freight Corridors, Eastern and Western (India); Olmeca refinery at Dos Bocas (Mexico); Inland Rail, and its consolidation at Parkes (Australia); Kehรคrata airport rail loop, and its cost overrun (Finland); Chixoy hydroelectric project, and its cost and time overrun (Guatemala); Abuja-Kaduna-Zaria-Kano dual carriageway, and the termination of its 2017 contract (Nigeria); Neelum-Jhelum Hydropower Project, and its shutdown (Pakistan); Tarbela Fourth Extension Hydropower Project (Pakistan); MOSE, the Venice lagoon flood barrier (Italy); Padma Multipurpose Bridge (Bangladesh); Noor-Ouarzazate solar complex (Morocco); Pap-Angren railway and Kamchik tunnel (Uzbekistan); Pro-Routes high-priority road reopening and maintenance (Democratic Republic of the Congo); Karuma Hydropower Project (Uganda); Julius Nyerere Hydropower Project (Tanzania); A1 motorway, Bucharest to Nadlac (Romania); South-West Roads: Western Europe-Western China corridor (CAREC 1b and 6b) (Kazakhstan); Reseau Ferroviaire Rapide de Tunis, lines D and E, and its overruns (Tunisia); Southern Expressway (Southern Transport Development Project) (Sri Lanka); Melamchi Water Supply Project, and its erosion after the 2021 flood (Nepal); Harare-Masvingo-Beitbridge highway rehabilitation, behind schedule (Zimbabwe); Solar powered milling plants contract, and its erosion (Zambia); Urban Water Supply Project (PEMU), part of the Kabala programme for Bamako (Mali); Ouagadougou Water Supply Project (Ziga) (Burkina Faso); Jiji and Mulembwe hydropower project (Burundi); Transport Infrastructure Investment Project (national roads, ports and the Northern Railway) (Madagascar); Energy Sector Support Project (substations and distribution lines) (Malawi); Morupule B coal power station, and its underperformance (Botswana); Metolong Dam and Water Supply Programme (Lesotho); B6 Belle Rive to Quartier Militaire road upgrade (Mauritius); Rahad Irrigation Project, and its cost and time overrun (Sudan); Accra bus rapid transit under the Ghana Urban Transport Project, and its cancellation (Ghana); Yabayo-Gagnoa road under the Fourth Highway Project, and its cost and time overrun (Cรดte d'Ivoire); Fourth Highway Project: paving of the Mamou-Kankan and Dubreka-Kolaboui roads (Guinea); Realignment of the Congo-Ocean Railway through the Mayombe, and its overruns (Republic of the Congo); Banjul Rehabilitation Project (roads, drainage and sewage), and its delay (Gambia); Bissau Port Project, delivered two and a half years late (Guinea-Bissau); ล oลกtanj thermal power plant unit 6 (TEล  6), and its cost overrun (Slovenia); Rail Baltica in Latvia, and its cost and schedule overrun (Latvia); Koralmbahn Graz to Klagenfurt, opened seven years after its contracted completion date (Austria); Fehmarn Belt fixed link, and its cost and schedule overrun (Denmark); Motorway construction by the Road and Motorway Directorate, and its unit cost (Czechia); Peljeลกac Bridge, the first stage of the road connection to South Dalmatia (Croatia); Decommissioning of the Bohunice V1 nuclear power plant, and its four-year slip (Slovakia); Decommissioning of the Ignalina nuclear power plant, and its delays (Lithuania); Corridor X motorway sections (E-75 and E-80) (Serbia); Road Sector Development Project on the M-03 and M-12, and its cut scope (Ukraine); M6 Minsk to Grodno transit corridor upgrade (Belarus); Federation Road Sector Modernization Project, and its shrunken rehabilitation scope (Bosnia and Herzegovina); Local Roads Improvement Project, and its halved scope (Moldova); Regional and Local Roads Connectivity Project (Albania); Kicevo to Ohrid motorway, and its cost and time overrun (North Macedonia); Budapest metro line 4, first section, and its cost and time overrun (Hungary); Road Infrastructure Rehabilitation Project, and its cut after the 2009 budget squeeze (Bulgaria); Ain Sokhna supercritical power plant (Egypt); Hartha power station units 2 and 3 rehabilitation, and its halt (Iraq); Greater Beirut Water Supply Project (Awali to Beirut conveyor), and its unfinished delivery (Lebanon); Amman Development Corridor (Amman Ring Road phase 1), and its overrun (Jordan); East-West Highway Corridor Improvement Project (Rikoti Pass sections) (Georgia); North-South Road Corridor Investment Program, Tranche 1 (Armenia); Second National Water Supply and Sanitation Project (rayon centres), and its downsizing (Azerbaijan); National Road Rehabilitation (Osh-Batken-Isfana) Project (Kyrgyzstan); Tehran Sewerage Project (first phase: interceptors, trunk main and southern treatment plant) (Iran); Central Ring Road around Moscow (TsKAD), audited by the Accounts Chamber (Russia); Road Maintenance and Rehabilitation Project (Papua New Guinea); Road No. 13 South upgrading under the Third Highway Improvement Project (Laos); Second Energy Sector Project, distribution rehabilitation and the 10 MWp western solar plant (Mongolia); City Rail Link, Auckland, and its cost and time overrun (New Zealand); Rogun hydropower plant (Tajikistan); Kvalitetsfonden hospital building programme (supersygehuse), and its overruns (Denmark); Modernizace dรกlnice D1 (D1 motorway modernisation, Miroลกovice to Kรฝvalka) (Czechia); Lae Port Development Project (Lae Tidal Basin, phase 1) (Papua New Guinea); Second-wave motorway concessions (Central E-65, Olympia Odos, Moreas), and their reset (Greece); Third Highway Project: M4 Baku-Shamakhi and M3 Yenikend-Shorsulu motorways (Azerbaijan); Belene nuclear power plant, and its cancellation (Bulgaria); Belarusian nuclear power plant (BelAES), delivered behind schedule (Belarus); Bishkek-Osh road rehabilitation, third phase (Kyrgyzstan).

Missing indicators: Large project delivery, Firm scale-up rate.

Rejected datasets: Logistics infrastructure quality.

Anticipation

44.60.46

How capable is the country of identifying and preparing for emerging change?

Uses 2 observed indicators. +7.6 over 10 years using 2 indicators.

Highest usable scores: Denmark 98.1, Norway 97.2, Switzerland 93.4.

Related deliveries in other countries: The Delta Programme and its fund (Netherlands); Centre for Strategic Futures, foresight inside government (Singapore); Legally binding carbon budgets (United Kingdom); Fukushima decommissioning roadmap, a 30โ€“40-year risk-reduction horizon (Japan); National basic-research funding allocation (China); PLANAPP and REPLAN, a centre-of-government foresight network (Portugal); Labour Market Intelligence Programme and forward skills planning (South Africa); Government Report on the Future and the parliamentary Committee for the Future (Finland); Foresight Centre at the Riigikogu (Arenguseire Keskus) (Estonia); Office of Technology Assessment, defunded and closed in 1995 (United States); Rzฤ…dowe Centrum Studiรณw Strategicznych, liquidated in 2006 (Poland); Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag (TAB) (Germany); National Assembly Futures Institute (South Korea); Federal Chancellery situation and environment analysis (Perspektivstab) (Switzerland); Senate foresight delegation (Dรฉlรฉgation sรฉnatoriale ร  la prospective) (France); Senate Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation (Chile); Policy Horizons Canada, the federal foresight unit, and its 2024 disruption scan (Canada); Framtidskommissionen, the Prime Minister's time-limited future commission (Sweden); National Planning Commission foresight work for Malawi 2063 (Malawi); Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratรฉgique and the national prospective studies (Cรดte d'Ivoire); Teknologiraadet, the Norwegian Board of Technology (Norway); Teknologiraadet, the Danish Board of Technology, abolished in 2012 (Denmark); Bureau federal du Plan (Belgium); Special Secretariat of Foresight (now of Long-term Planning) (Greece); STRATA foresight for the Lietuva 2050 state progress strategy (Lithuania); Institut Royal des Etudes Stratรฉgiques (IRES) (Morocco); Long-term Insights Briefings under the Public Service Act 2020 (New Zealand).

Missing indicators: Government foresight capacity, Long-horizon research commitments.

What to measure first

The evidence is too thin to manage these dimensions confidently.

What to keep watching

These dimensions score at least 50 with usable evidence.

DimensionScoreConfidence
Adaptability64.50.62
Agency58.00.56
Trust53.40.50

Missing data

18 requested indicators have no comparable dataset, and each one lowers confidence. A gap can become an indicator when a comparable series covers at least two countries.

DimensionMissing indicatorWhat it asks
AnticipationGovernment foresight capacityExistence, mandate and continuity of a national strategic foresight function.
AnticipationLong-horizon research commitmentsNew competitively awarded public research grants that run for five years or longer, as a share of all new competitive public research grants awarded in the year.
AgencyAdults doing digital tasksShare of adults who carried out a named digital task in the last three months, such as sending a message with an attached file, moving a file between devices or using a spreadsheet formula, counted one task at a time and never as a skill level.
CoordinationUniversity-industry collaborationIntensity of research collaboration between universities and firms.
CoordinationPublic-private collaborationFrequency and scale of joint public-private delivery of national objectives.
TrustTrust in public institutionsConfidence in national government, courts and civil service.
TrustCourt case clearance rateCivil and commercial cases resolved in a year as a share of cases filed in the same year.
LearningAdult learning participationShare of adults in formal or non-formal education and training in the last 12 months.
ExperimentationVenture dealsFirst venture capital rounds closed by companies based in the country in the year, per million people, counted by deal and never by amount.
ExperimentationFirms through regulatory sandboxesFirms admitted to, and firms completing, a regulatory sandbox or controlled trial regime in the year, per million people, summed across every regulator in the country.
ExperimentationUniversity spinoutsCompanies formed to commercialise university research, per million people.
AdaptabilityDisaster preparedness and recoveryDemonstrated capacity to prepare for and recover from major shocks.
AdaptabilityInstitutional responsivenessSpeed at which rules and public programmes are changed in response to new conditions.
BuildingLarge project deliveryCost and schedule performance of major public infrastructure projects.
BuildingFirm scale-up rateShare of young firms reaching significant employment or turnover thresholds.
Shared PurposeSense of national belongingReported identification with and attachment to the national community, as distinct from pride in the nation.
Shared PurposeVolunteeringShare of adults who volunteered time to an organisation in the last month.
Shared PurposePolitical polarisationDegree to which political differences run along a single hostile divide.

What Brazil built that no indicator counts

These are documented institutional changes in Brazil that the framework records as evidence. They are not scored, and they appear beside the capability scores as a historical record.

  • Pix instant payment system (Building)

    Brazil's central bank specified, built and ran a mandatory instant payment rail that settled 7.98 billion transactions in July 2026, for 152 million people and 14 million firms transacting in that month.

  • GOV.BR federal identity and service platform (Building)

    Brazil consolidated federal public services behind one identity platform, reporting 175 million active accounts and 5,179 digital services in May 2026.

  • Sistema Unico de Saude, universal public health system (Building)

    Brazil wrote a right to health into the 1988 constitution and built a single public system that covers everybody in the country, and the WHO service coverage index for Brazil rose from 71 in 2000 to 84 in 2023.

  • Plano Real, the 1994 currency stabilisation (Adaptability)

    Brazil ended four decades of high inflation with a staged currency reform, taking annual consumer price inflation from 2,075.9 percent in 1994 to 3.2 percent in 1998.

  • Programa Nacional de Imunizacoes, and its erosion (Building)

    Brazil's national immunisation programme reached 99 percent DPT coverage in 2003 and held above 95 percent for a decade, then fell to 68 percent by 2021 and had recovered to 91 percent by 2024.

  • Luz para Todos, rural electrification (Building)

    Brazil connected the last rural households to electricity through a national programme run with the state and private distributors, taking access from 94.4 percent of the population in 2000 to 99.8 percent in 2024.

  • Embrapa, a fifty-year bet on tropical agriculture (Anticipation)

    Brazil created a public agricultural research corporation in 1973 to make acidic tropical soils productive, kept it funded across every change of government since, and cereal production rose from 46.5 million tonnes in 2000 to 155.9 million in 2023.

  • Bolsa Familia and the single registry behind it (Building)

    Brazil built one national registry of low-income households and paid conditional transfers through it, going from 6.6 million benefits in December 2004 to a peak of 21.0 million in 2022 and 18.6 million in December 2025.

  • Fully electronic national elections (Building)

    Brazil has run every election on electronic voting machines since 2000, across an electorate that reached 155.9 million voters in 2024, with results published the same evening.

  • Proalcool, the fuel substitution after the oil shock (Adaptability)

    Brazil answered the 1973 oil shock by mandating ethanol blending and building a national fuel alcohol industry, taking production from 580 thousand cubic metres in 1975 to 38,199 in 2025, and from 2003 flex-fuel engines moved the choice to the driver.

  • Deepwater and pre-salt oil production (Building)

    Brazil developed deepwater extraction, found the pre-salt fields in 2006 and produced them at depths of more than 5,000 metres, with national oil production rising from 71,844 thousand cubic metres in 2000 to 219,032 in 2025.

  • BNDES, the national development bank (Building)

    Founded in 1952, Brazil's federal development bank provides long-term financing and investment across the national economy, and it disbursed R$169.7 billion in 2025.

  • CAPES, federal postgraduate funding (Learning)

    Founded in 1951, CAPES built a national postgraduate funding and evaluation system, and by 1995 Brazil's system had more than 60,000 students across over 1,000 master's and 600 doctoral courses.

  • Lei de Informรกtica, a sectoral industrial policy (Anticipation)

    Law 8.248/1991 tied information-technology incentives to annual research, development and innovation investment of at least 5 percent of eligible domestic gross revenue, creating a predictable regime for sectoral capability.

  • Casa da Moeda do Brasil, the national mint (Building)

    Founded in 1694, Brazil's national mint has remained a public institution through colonial, imperial and republican regimes and now produces currency, identity documents and passports after more than 330 years of operation.

  • Itaipu Binacional, the treaty-built power system (Coordination)

    Brazil and Paraguay built and operate Itaipu through a treaty-based binational entity, which reached 14,000 megawatts of installed capacity and has supplied both countries since the first unit entered operation in 1984.

  • Cadastro รšnico, the unified social registry (Trust)

    Since 2001, Cadastro รšnico has identified and characterized low-income families across Brazil and has become the entry point for more than 40 federal, state and municipal social programmes.

  • Portal da Transparรชncia, the federal open-books system (Trust)

    Launched in 2004, Portal da Transparรชncia has spent 20 years publishing federal revenue, expenditure, personnel and transfer information so citizens can inspect how public money is used.

  • INEP, the standing education statistics institution (Learning)

    Created in 1937, INEP built a standing education statistics and census system that lets federal, state and municipal actors see schools, students and policy results across Brazil, while its historical archive now spans 218.68 linear metres.

  • CGEE, the strategic studies center (Anticipation)

    Created in 2001, the Centro de Gestรฃo e Estudos Estratรฉgicos was designed to produce prospective studies and long-term recommendations for Brazilian science, technology and innovation policy, with 273 researchers and specialists signing its creation record.

  • Telebras, the telecom system that was dismantled (Adaptability)

    Created in 1972, Telebras coordinated Brazil's state telecom system until its 1998 privatisation, when 54 concessionaires were split out and the state moved from operating the network to regulating and universalising service.

  • EMBRAPII, industry-led applied research (Coordination)

    Created in 2013, EMBRAPII funds industrial research that companies contract with accredited public and private research units, and it contracted a record 811 new projects in 2025, 25.35% more than in 2024.

  • SIBRATEC, the national technology networks (Coordination)

    To foster university-firm interaction, the Federal Government set up SIBRATEC, coordinated by the Ministry of Science and Technology with FINEP, BNDES and INMETRO taking part, as a national system of 56 research and development networks by 2010: 14 innovation-centre networks, 20 technological-service networks and 22 state-level extension networks.

  • SUS health councils, permanent public participation (Shared Purpose)

    Since Law 8.142 established them in 1990, Brazil's SUS has required permanent, deliberative health councils at the national, state and municipal levels, with users holding 50 percent of seats and health workers and government or providers holding 25 percent each.

  • Salรกrio mรญnimo and its permanent revaluation rule (Adaptability)

    Brazil's Congress and president established a permanent annual valorizaรงรฃo do salรกrio mรญnimo in Law 14.663/2023, setting the national floor at R$1,320 from May 2023 and linking later adjustments to INPC inflation plus real GDP growth from two years earlier.

  • Banco Central regulatory sandbox, first cycle (Experimentation)

    Brazil's central bank opened its regulatory sandbox to applications in February 2021, received 52 projects, admitted seven to test under relaxed rules from 6 December 2021, and ran the cycle for one year with one permitted extension.

  • MAI/DAI, innovation scholarships for research with partner companies (Coordination)

    Brazil's research council CNPq, with CAPES co-funding the 2024 call, has run four calls of its Mestrado e Doutorado Acadรชmico para Inovaรงรฃo programme (2018, 2020, 2022 and 2024), in which about 80 science and technology institutions and more than 200 companies had taken part and at least 5,000 scholarships had been granted by 2024 for undergraduate and graduate student research on projects defined with partner firms.

  • Educaรงรฃo de Jovens e Adultos (EJA), and its erosion (Learning)

    Brazil's Educaรงรฃo de Jovens e Adultos, the second-chance basic education modality delivered mostly by public school networks, enrolled 2,962,322 students in 2021 and 2,252,069 in 2025, a fall of about 24 percent in four years, according to INEP's School Census.

  • Auxรญlio Reconstruรงรฃo, the federal cash grant after the 2024 Rio Grande do Sul floods (Adaptability)

    After the floods that began in late April 2024 in Rio Grande do Sul, the federal government paid R$ 2.1 billion in Auxรญlio Reconstruรงรฃo to 429,000 families, according to the balance its extraordinary secretary for the reconstruction of Rio Grande do Sul presented to a Chamber of Deputies committee on 12 February 2025.

Contribute

Fill a gap, file evidence or challenge an indicator at github.com/envisioning/national-capability-benchmark. The docs explain the method and decisions.